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The science of conjecture : evidence and probability before Pascal /

"In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. Sometimes this type of reasoning avoided numbers en...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Franklin, James, 1953-
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press, ©2001.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Franklin, James,  |d 1953- 
245 1 4 |a The science of conjecture :  |b evidence and probability before Pascal /  |c James Franklin. 
264 1 |a Baltimore :  |b Johns Hopkins University Press,  |c ©2001. 
300 |a 1 online resource (xiii, 497 pages) 
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504 |a Includes bibliographical references and index. 
505 0 |a 1. The Ancient Law of Proof -- 2. The Medieval Law of Evidence: Suspicion, Half-proof, and Inquisition -- 3. Renaissance Law -- 4. The Doubting Conscience and Moral Certainty -- 5. Rhetoric, Logic, Theory -- 6. Hard Science -- 7. Soft Science and History -- 8. Philosophy: Action and Induction -- 9. Religion: Laws of God, Laws of Nature -- 10. Aleatory Contracts: Insurance, Annuities, and Bets -- 11. Dice -- 12. Conclusion -- Epilogue: The Survival of Unquantified Probability -- Appendix: Review of Work on Probability before 1660. 
520 1 |a "In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. Sometimes this type of reasoning avoided numbers entirely, as in the legal standard of "proof beyond a reasonable doubt"; at other times it involved rough numerical estimates, such as gambling odds or the level of risk in chance events. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty."--Jacket 
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650 0 |a Evidence  |x History. 
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650 7 |a Histoire.  |2 eclas 
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650 7 |a Probabilities  |2 fast 
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