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Simply rational : decision making in the real world /
"Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This book brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the chapters demonstrate why the frame in which stat...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
New York, NY :
Oxford University Press,
[2015]
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| Colección: | Evolution and cognition.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
| Sumario: | "Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This book brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the chapters demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. The text provides a review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a 'heuristic revolution' that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality."--Provided by publisher. |
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| Descripción Física: | 1 online resource (x, 312 pages) : illustrations. |
| Bibliografía: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 261-299) and index. |
| ISBN: | 9780190240684 0190240687 9780199390083 0199390088 |