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Public investment as an engine of growth /

This paper looks at the empirical record whether big infrastructure and public capital drives have succeeded in accelerating economic growth in low-income countries. It looks at big long-lasting drives in public capital spending, as these were arguably clear and exogenous policy decisions. On averag...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Warner, Andrew M. (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2014.
©2014
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/14/148.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Public investment as an engine of growth /  |c Andrew M. Warner. 
260 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2014. 
264 4 |c ©2014 
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504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 66-67). 
520 |a This paper looks at the empirical record whether big infrastructure and public capital drives have succeeded in accelerating economic growth in low-income countries. It looks at big long-lasting drives in public capital spending, as these were arguably clear and exogenous policy decisions. On average the evidence shows only a weak positive association between investment spending and growth and only in the same year, as lagged impacts are not significant. Furthermore, there is little evidence of long term positive impacts. Some individual countries may be exceptions to this general result, as for example Ethiopia in recent years, as high public investment has coincided with high GDP growth, but it is probably too early to draw definitive conclusions. The fact that the positive association is largely instantaneous argues for the importance of either reverse causality, as capital spending tends to be cut in slumps and increased in booms, or Keynesian demand effects, as spending boosts output in the short run. It argues against the importance of long term productivity effects, as these are triggered by the completed investments (which take several years) and not by the mere spending on the investments. In fact a slump in growth rather than a boom has followed many public capital drives of the past. Case studies indicate that public investment drives tend eventually to be financed by borrowing and have been plagued by poor analytics at the time investment projects were chosen, incentive problems and interest-group-infested investment choices. These observations suggest that the current public investment drives will be more likely to succeed if governments do not behave as in the past, and instead take analytical issues seriously and safeguard their decision process against interests that distort public investment decisions.--Abstract. 
588 0 |a Online resource; title from pdf title page (IMF.org Web site, viewed on August 13, 2014). 
505 0 |a Cover; Table of Contents; 1. Introduction; 2. Framework; 3. Empirical Section on the Impact of Public Investment Drives; A. Empirical Results; B. Post-1990 evidence; C. Sensitivity of the results to an alternative method of selecting boom years; D. Crowding in or crowding out?; E.A comparison of two major episodes: pre and post 1990; 4. Five Case Studies; A. Mexico; B. Bolivia; C. Korea; D. Taiwan province of China; E. Philippines; 5. The World Bank's Project Investment Upsurge; 6. Summary and Conclusions; 7. References; 8. Appendix I: Additional Regression Results. 
546 |a English. 
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650 0 |a Public investments  |v Case studies. 
650 0 |a Economic development  |v Case studies. 
650 6 |a Investissements publics  |v Études de cas. 
650 6 |a Développement économique  |v Études de cas. 
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650 7 |a Economic development  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Public investments  |2 fast 
655 7 |a Case studies  |2 fast 
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710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Strategy, Policy, and Review Department,  |e issuing body. 
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