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Applied Uncertainty Analysis for Flood Risk Management /
This text provides an introduction for flood risk management practitioners, up-to-date methods for analysis of uncertainty and its use in risk-based decision making. It addresses decision making for both short term (real-time forecasting) and long term (flood risk planning under change) situations....
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Otros Autores: | , |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
London :
Imperial College Press,
[2014]
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Section I. Introduction. ch. 1. Flood risk management: Decision making under uncertainty / Jim W. Hall
- ch. 2. Use of models in flood risk management / Keith Beven
- Section II. Theoretical perspective. ch. 3. A framework for uncertainty analysis / Keith Beven
- ch. 4. Classical approaches for statistical inference in model calibration with uncertainty / R.E. Chandler
- ch. 5. Formal Bayes methods for model calibration with uncertainty / Jonathan Rougier
- ch. 6. The GLUE methodology for model calibration with uncertainty / Keith Beven
- Section III. Uncertainties in flood modelling and risk analysis. ch. 7. Uncertainty in rainfall inputs / R.E. Chandler [and others]
- ch. 8. Uncertainty in flood frequency analysis / Thomas R. Kjeldsen, Rob Lamb and Sarka D. Blazkova
- ch. 9. Minimising uncertainty in statistical analysis of extreme values / C. Keef
- ch. 10. Uncertainty in flood inundation modelling / Paul D. Bates, Florian Pappenberger and Renata J. Romanowicz
- ch. 11. Flood defence reliability analysis / Pieter van Gelder and Han Vrijling
- ch. 12. Uncertainties in flood modelling in urban areas / Slobodan Djordjevic [and others]
- ch. 13. The many uncertainties in flood loss assessments / John Chatterton, Edmund Penning-Rowsell and Sally Priest
- ch. 14. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of current and future flood risk in the Thames estuary / Jim W. Hall, Hamish Harvey and Owen Tarrant
- Section IV. Uncertainties in real-time flood forecasting. ch. 15. Operational hydrologic ensemble forecasting / Albrecht H. Weerts [and others]
- ch. 16. A data-based mechanistic modelling approach to real-time flood forecasting / Peter C. Young, Renata J. Romanowicz and Keith Beven
- ch. 17. Uncertainty estimation in fluvial flood forecasting applications / Kevin Sene [and others]
- ch. 18. Case study: Decision making for flood forecasting in the US National Weather Service / Robert Hartman and John Schaake
- ch. 19. Quantifying and reducing uncertainties in operational forecasting: Examples from the Delft FEWS forecasting system / Micha Werner, Paolo Reggiani and Albrecht H. Weerts
- ch. 20. Real-time coastal flood forecasting / Kevin Horsburgh and Jonathan Flowerdew
- Section V. Uncertainties in long-term change in flood risk. ch. 21. Detecting long-term change in flood risk / Cintia B. Uvo and Robin T. Clarke
- ch. 22. Detecting changes in winter precipitation extremes and fluvial flood risk / Robert L. Wilby, Hayley J. Fowler and Bill Donovan
- ch. 23. Flood risk in Eastern Australia
- Climate variability and change / Stewart W. Franks
- Section VI. Communicating uncertainties. ch. 24. Translating uncertainty in flood risk science / Hazel Faulkner, Meghan Alexander and David Leedal.