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|a UAMI
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|a Rapkin, David P.,
|e author.
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|a Transition scenarios :
|b China and the United States in the twenty-first century /
|c David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson.
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|a Chicago ;
|a London :
|b University of Chicago Press,
|c 2013.
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|a 1 online resource
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|a text
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|a Includes bibliographical references and index.
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|a Twenty-first-century transition struggles -- Scenario construction -- Scenarios of future United States-China warfare : what is missing from this picture? -- Power-transition, offensive-realism, and leadership long-cycle perspectives on structural transitions -- Systemic transition dynamics and the conflict drivers in the China-United States transition context -- Constraints on transition conflict -- Weak conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "more of the same" and "Pax Americana II" scenarios -- Weak conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "transition war" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "Pax Sinica" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "liberal peace" scenario -- Using the scenarios in the twenty-first century.
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|a Print version record.
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|a China's rising status in the global economy alongside recent economic stagnation in Europe and the United States has led to considerable speculation that we are in the early stages of a transition in power relations. Commentators have tended to treat this transitional period as a novelty, but history is in fact replete with such systemic transitions-sometimes with perilous results. Can we predict the future by using the past? And, if so, what might history teach us?With Transition Scenarios, David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson identify some predictors for pow.
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|a United States
|x Relations
|z China.
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|a China
|x Relations
|z United States.
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|a War
|x Forecasting.
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|a Guerre
|x Prévision.
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|a POLITICAL SCIENCE
|x Government
|x International.
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|a POLITICAL SCIENCE
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|a International relations.
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|0 (OCoLC)fst00977053
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|a War
|x Forecasting.
|2 fast
|0 (OCoLC)fst01170341
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|a China.
|2 fast
|0 (OCoLC)fst01206073
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|a United States.
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|a Thompson, William R.,
|e author.
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|i Print version:
|a Rapkin, David P.
|t Transition scenarios.
|d Chicago ; London : University of Chicago Press, 2013
|z 9780226040332
|w (DLC) 2013003714
|w (OCoLC)826899647
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