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Oil and the world economy : some possible futures /

"This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores principales: Kumhof, Michael (Autor), Muir, Dirk (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Research Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept., 2012.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP12/256.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Descripción
Sumario:"This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult."--Abstract.
Notas:"October 2012."
Descripción Física:1 online resource (31 pages)
Bibliografía:Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN:9781475539974
1475539975