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|a 903698848
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|a HC59.15 v.12/192
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|a HG3881.5.I58
|b W67 No. 12/192eb
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|a UAMI
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|a Barnett, Steven,
|e author.
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|a Inflation dynamics in Mongolia :
|b understanding the roller coaster /
|c Steven Barnett, Julia Bersch and Yasuhisa Ojima.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2012.
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|a 1 online resource (20 pages)
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|a text
|b txt
|2 rdacontent
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|a computer
|b c
|2 rdamedia
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|a online resource
|b cr
|2 rdacarrier
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|a data file
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|a IMF working paper ;
|v WP/12/192
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|a "July 2012."
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|a Includes bibliographical references.
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|a Online resource; title from PDF title page (IMF, viewed November 5, 2012).
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|a Inflation in Mongolia resembles a roller coaster ride with sharp rises and steep drops. Understanding why is critical for formulating and assessing monetary policy. Food prices are found to be a key driver of inflation, and, not surprising given Mongolia's geography, are determined primarily by local supply conditions, highly seasonal, and subject to large but short-lived shocks (usually weather related). Nonetheless, demand factors are also found to be significant in explaining price movements and empirical evidence suggests that a 10 percent increase in government wages, for example, would push up underlying inflation by 1 percentage point. So, while inflation will remain volatile due to agricultural shocks, there is space for macroeconomic stabilization policy to help reduce inflation volatility.
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|a Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Inflation: Headline CPI; 2. Inflation, 1995-2010; II. A Closer Look at the Consumer Price Index; 3. Export Earnings and Fiscal Spending; 4. Administered Price Changes; 5. Inflation: Contributions to Change; 6. Inflation Rates; Tables; 1. Descriptive Statistics of the Overall Inflation Rate and the Main Subcomponents; 7 Seasonal Factors; 8. Inflation Rates (In percent, seasonally adjuted annualized rate month-on-month); 9. Inflation Rates (In percent, seasonally adjusted annualized rate).
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|a III. Understanding Inflation Through its Time Series PropertiesA. Inflation Persistence and Expectations; 2. Persistence in CPI and its Subcomponents; 10. Inflation: Persistence Shocks; 3. Mongolia and Other Copper Producers; B. Vector Auto-Regression (VAR) Analysis; 11 Impulse Response Functions; IV. Demand-pull Factor of Inflation; A. The Role of Fiscal Spending; 12 Variance Decomposition; 13. Fiscal Spending (In percent of non-mineral GDP); 14. Fiscal Spending (In percent, 4-quarter moving average, year-on-year); 4. Inflationary Impact of Government Spending, 2000-11.
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|a B. The Role of Output Gaps and the Exchange Rate15. Mongolia: Output Gap (2000Q1-2011Q4); 16. Exchange Rates; 5. Phillips-Curve Estimation; V. International Context; A. Commodity Prices; 17. Food Prices; 18. Rice Prices; 19. Wheat and Flour Prices; B. Price Spillovers from Neighboring Countries-China and Russia; 6. China and Russia; VI. Conclusion; Annex. The Ulaanbaatar and National CPIs; References.
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|a eBooks on EBSCOhost
|b EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - Worldwide
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|a Inflation (Finance)
|z Mongolia.
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650 |
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|a Finance
|z Mongolia.
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651 |
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|a Mongolia
|x Social conditions
|y 21st century.
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|a Mongolia
|x Politics and government
|y 21st century.
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|a Inflation
|z Mongolie.
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650 |
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|a Finances
|z Mongolie.
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651 |
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|a Mongolie
|x Politique et gouvernement
|y 21e siècle.
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650 |
|
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|a BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
|x Economics
|x General.
|2 bisacsh
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650 |
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|a BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
|x Reference.
|2 bisacsh
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|a Finance
|2 fast
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|a Inflation (Finance)
|2 fast
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|a Politics and government
|2 fast
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|a Social conditions
|2 fast
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|a Mongolia
|2 fast
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|a 2000-2099
|2 fast
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|a Bersch, Julia,
|e author.
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|a Ojima, Yasuhisa,
|e author.
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|a International Monetary Fund.
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|a IMF working paper ;
|v WP/12/192.
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|u https://ebsco.uam.elogim.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=568161
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