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The pre-crisis capital flow surge to emerging Europe : did countercyclical fiscal policy make a difference? /

A push-pull-brake model of capital flows is used to study the effects of fiscal policy changes on private capital flows to emerging Europe during 2000-07. In the model, countercyclical fiscal policy has two opposing effects on capital inflows: (i) a conventional absorption reducing effect, as a tigh...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Atoyan, Ruben (Ruben V.)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. European Department
Otros Autores: Jaeger, Albert, Smith, Dustin
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2012.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/12/222.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Atoyan, Ruben  |q (Ruben V.) 
245 1 4 |a The pre-crisis capital flow surge to emerging Europe :  |b did countercyclical fiscal policy make a difference? /  |c prepared by Ruben Atoyan, Albert Jaeger, and Dustin Smith. 
260 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2012. 
300 |a 1 online resource (34 pages). 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
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490 1 |a IMF working paper,  |x 2227-8885 ;  |v WP/12/222 
500 |a Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Sept. 12, 2012). 
520 |a A push-pull-brake model of capital flows is used to study the effects of fiscal policy changes on private capital flows to emerging Europe during 2000-07. In the model, countercyclical fiscal policy has two opposing effects on capital inflows: (i) a conventional absorption reducing effect, as a tighter fiscal stance acts as a brake on capital flows; and (ii) an unconventional absorption-boosting effect, as a tighter fiscal stance increases investor confidence in the country. The empirical results suggest that push factors (low returns in flow-originating countries), rather than pull factors (high returns in flow-destination countries), drove most of the private capital flows to emerging Europe. And active countercyclical fiscal policy once the fiscal stance is adjusted for the automatic effects on the fiscal position of both internal and external imbalances acted as a brake on capital inflows. However, the empirical results also suggest that, even abstracting from political feasibility and fiscal policy lag considerations, countercyclical fiscal policy alone is unlikely to be an effective policy tool to put an effective brake on sudden capital flow surges. 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references. 
500 |a "European Department." 
500 |a "September 2012." 
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650 0 |a Capital movements  |z Europe  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Capital movements  |z Developing countries  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Fiscal policy  |z Europe  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Fiscal policy  |z Developing countries  |x Econometric models. 
650 6 |a Mouvements de capitaux  |z Europe  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Politique fiscale  |z Europe  |x Modèles économétriques. 
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651 7 |a Europe.  |2 fast  |0 (OCoLC)fst01245064 
700 1 |a Jaeger, Albert. 
700 1 |a Smith, Dustin. 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b European Department. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |z 9781475584554 
830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/12/222. 
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