Reducing uncertainty : intelligence analysis and national security /
This text explores how the US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the spread of disease. In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes.
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Autor principal: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Stanford, Calif. :
Stanford Security Studies,
©2011.
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Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Reducing uncertainty
- Myths, fears, and expectations
- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight
- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future
- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it
- A tale of two estimates
- Epilogue : lessons and challenges.