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|a Fingar, Thomas.
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|a Reducing uncertainty :
|b intelligence analysis and national security /
|c Thomas Fingar.
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|a Stanford, Calif. :
|b Stanford Security Studies,
|c ©2011.
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|a 1 online resource (xii, 176 pages)
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|a Includes bibliographical references and index.
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|a Reducing uncertainty -- Myths, fears, and expectations -- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future -- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it -- A tale of two estimates -- Epilogue : lessons and challenges.
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|a Print version record.
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|a This text explores how the US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the spread of disease. In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes.
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|a Intelligence service
|z United States.
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|a National security
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|a TRUE CRIME
|x Espionage.
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|a POLITICAL SCIENCE
|x Political Freedom & Security
|x Intelligence.
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|a Intelligence service
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|a National security
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|a United States
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|i Print version:
|a Fingar, Thomas.
|t Reducing uncertainty.
|d Stanford, California : Stanford Security Studies, 2011, ©2011
|z 9780804775939
|w (DLC) 2010045291
|w (OCoLC)676067194
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