Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Intro
  • CLIMATE CHANGE IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AND THE PACIFIC ISLANDS
  • CLIMATE CHANGE IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AND THE PACIFIC ISLANDS
  • CONTENTS
  • PREFACE
  • Chapter 1 SOUTHEAST ASIA AND PACIFIC ISLANDS: THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO 2030- A COMMISSIONED RESEARCH REPORT*
  • SCOPE NOTE
  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND
  • Projected Regional Climate Change
  • Current Climatology of Southeast Asia
  • Climate Predictions (Modeling)
  • Projections of Future Changes in Temperature and Precipitation
  • Projections of Future Changes in Monsoons and ENSO
  • Projections of Future Changes in Water Resources
  • Projections of Future Changes in Sea Level
  • Projections of Future Changes in River Delta Flooding and Salinity Intrusion
  • Impacts of Climate Change on Human and Natural Systems
  • Impacts of Sea Level Rise
  • Impacts on River Deltas
  • Impacts of Natural Disasters
  • Impacts on Water Resources
  • Impacts on Agriculture
  • Impacts on Forests and Biodiversity
  • Impacts on Coastal Ecosystems
  • Impacts on Coral Reefs
  • Impacts on Diseases and Human Health
  • Impacts on Electricity Demand in Urban Areas
  • Impacts on Human Livelihoods and Infrastructure
  • Adaptive Capacity
  • The Adaptive Capacity of Southeast Asia in a Global Context
  • Human and Civic Resources
  • Economic Capacity
  • Environmental Capacity
  • Strengths and Weaknesses in Adaptive Capacity Assessments
  • Specific Adaptive Capacity Considerations for Southeast Asia
  • Summary of Possible Adaptive Strategies for Climate Change in Southeast Asia
  • Disasters and Emergency Management
  • Water Resources
  • Agriculture
  • Forests and Biodiversity
  • Coastal Communities
  • Public Health
  • Conclusions: High-Risk Impacts
  • Sea Level Rise
  • Water Resources
  • Agriculture
  • Coastal Regions
  • ANNEX A. ACCURACY OF REGIONAL MODELS.
  • 11.4.2. Skill of Models in Simulating Present Climate
  • Southeast Asia
  • ANNEX B. KNOWLEDGE DEFICIENCIES THAT PRECLUDE A FULL EVALUATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA'S ADAPTIVE STRATEGIES
  • End Notes
  • Chapter 2 SOUTHEAST ASIA: THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE TO 2030: GEOPOLITICAL IMPLICATIONS*
  • SCOPE NOTE
  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND 1
  • Social, Political, and Economic Challenges
  • Agricultural Challenges
  • Coastal and Maritime Challenges
  • Hydrologic Challenges
  • Demographic and Public Health Challenges
  • Economic Challenges
  • Civil and Key Interest Group Responses
  • Interest Groups in Civil Society
  • Internal Migration
  • Prospects for Civil Conflict
  • State Responses
  • State Decisionmaking
  • Political Responses to Climate Change
  • State Capacity
  • Climate Change Mitigation Policies
  • Prospects for State Failure
  • Regional Implications
  • Prospects for Regional Climate Change Cooperation
  • China's Role in Southeast Asia
  • Regional Migration
  • Prospects for Regional Conflict
  • Maritime Disputes
  • The Mekong River
  • Broader Regional Implications
  • Overall Foreign Policy Implications
  • Southeast Asia and Global Climate Change Policy
  • The Role of the United States in Southeast Asia
  • US Engagement on Climate Change in Southeast Asia
  • The Copenhagen Negotiations
  • End Notes
  • INDEX
  • Blank Page.