The design inference : eliminating chance through small probabilities /
How can we identify events due to intelligent causes and distinguish them from events due to undirected natural causes? If we lack a causal theory how can we determine whether an intelligent cause acted? This book presents a reliable method for detecting intelligent causes: the design inference. The...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
---|---|
Autor principal: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Cambridge ; New York :
Cambridge University Press,
1998.
|
Colección: | Cambridge studies in probability, induction, and decision theory.
|
Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- I. Introduction : Historical overview
- The man with the golden arm
- Intellectual property protection
- Forensic science and detection
- Data falsification in science
- Cryptography (and SETI)
- Randomness
- II. Overview of the design inference : The explanatory filter
- The logic of the inference
- Case study, the creation-evolution controversy
- From design to agency
- III. Probability theory : The probability of an event
- Events
- Background information
- Likelihood
- The best available estimate
- Axiomization of probability
- IV. Complexity theory : The complexity of a problem
- Problems and resources
- Difficulty and its estimation
- Axiomization of complexity
- Calibration through complexity bounds
- Information measures
- RMS measures
- Technical supplement on RMS measure
- V. SSpecification : Patterns
- The requisite precondition
- Detachability
- Specification defined
- Pyramids and presidents
- Information tucked within information
- Prediction
- Increasing the power of a complexity measure
- Caputo revisited
- Randomness revisited
- VI. Small probability : Probabilistic resources
- The generic chance elimination argument
- The magic number 1/2
- Statistical signigcance testing
- Local and universal small probabilities
- The inflationary fallacy
- The law of small probability.