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Naive decision making : mathematics applied to the social world /

How should one choose the best restaurant to eat in? Can one really make money at gambling? Or predict the future? Naive Decision Making presents the mathematical basis for making decisions where the outcome may be uncertain or the interests of others have to taken into consideration. Professor Kör...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Körner, T. W. (Thomas William), 1946-
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 2008.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Körner, T. W.  |q (Thomas William),  |d 1946- 
245 1 0 |a Naive decision making :  |b mathematics applied to the social world /  |c T.W. Körner. 
260 |a Cambridge ;  |a New York :  |b Cambridge University Press,  |c 2008. 
300 |a 1 online resource (xv, 373 pages) 
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504 |a Includes bibliographical references and index. 
505 0 |a A day at the races -- The long run -- The vice of gambling and the virtue of insurance -- Passing the time -- A pack of cards -- Other people -- Simple games -- Points of agreement -- Long duels -- A night at the casino -- Prophecy -- Final reflections. 
588 0 |a Print version record. 
520 |a How should one choose the best restaurant to eat in? Can one really make money at gambling? Or predict the future? Naive Decision Making presents the mathematical basis for making decisions where the outcome may be uncertain or the interests of others have to taken into consideration. Professor Körner takes the reader on an enjoyable journey through many aspects of mathematical decision making, with pithy observations, anecdotes and quotations. Topics include probability, statistics, Arrow's theorem, Game Theory and Nash equilibrium. Readers will also gain a great deal of insight into mathematics in general and the role it can play within society. Intended for those with elementary calculus, this book is ideal as a supplementary text for undergraduate courses in probability, game theory and decision making. Engaging and intriguing, it will also appeal to all those of a mathematical mind. To aid understanding, many exercises are included, with solutions available online. 
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650 0 |a Decision making  |x Mathematical models. 
650 0 |a Statistical decision. 
650 2 |a Decision Support Techniques 
650 6 |a Prise de décision  |x Modèles mathématiques. 
650 6 |a Prise de décision (Statistique) 
650 7 |a MATHEMATICS  |x Probability & Statistics  |x Bayesian Analysis.  |2 bisacsh 
650 7 |a Decision making  |x Mathematical models  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Statistical decision  |2 fast 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Körner, T.W. (Thomas William), 1946-  |t Naive decision making.  |d Cambridge ; New York : Cambridge University Press, 2008  |z 9780521516167  |z 0521516161  |w (OCoLC)231580917 
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