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Review of Recommendations for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis : guidance on uncertainty and use of experts /

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores Corporativos: National Research Council (U.S.). Panel on Seismic Hazard Evaluation, Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, DC : National Academy Press, 1997.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Review of Recommendations for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: Guidance on Uncertainty and Use of Experts
  • Copyright
  • Preface
  • Contents
  • Executive Summary
  • MAIN FEATURES OF THE SSHAC REPORT
  • THE SSHAC METHODOLOGY
  • BACKGROUND WORKSHOPS
  • THE TREATMENT OF UNCERTAINTY
  • 1 Introduction
  • WHAT IS SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS?
  • BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT OF THIS REPORT
  • INTERACTIONS OF THE PANEL WITH SSHAC
  • ORGANIZATION OF THE PANEL'S REPORT
  • 2 Process and Documentation for a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
  • LEVEL OF EFFORT IN A PSHA
  • THE MULTIPLE ROLES OF EXPERTSTECHNICAL FACILITATOR/INTEGRATOR
  • The Proposed TFI Process
  • TREATMENT OF EXPERT INPUT
  • Integration of Expert Opinion
  • Weighting
  • Dependency Among Experts
  • Peer Review
  • Documentation
  • 3 Treatment of Uncertainty
  • IS THE ALEATORY/EPISTEMIC DISTINCTION UNIQUE AND CLEAR?
  • IS THE EPISTEMIC/ALEATORY SEPARATION NEEDED?
  • 4 Seismic Source Characterization
  • SCIENTIFIC VALIDITY AND CLARITY OF PRESENTATION
  • CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF PSHA
  • THE OUTLOOK FOR EVOLUTION OF SSC
  • 5 The Estimation of Earthquake-Generated Ground Motion SCIENTIFIC VALIDITY AND CLARITY OF PRESENTATION
  • CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF PSHA: SUMMARY OF THE GROUND MOTION WORKSHOP RESULTS
  • IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE GROUND MOTION ESTIMATION
  • 6 Summary and Conclusions
  • GENERAL APPRAISAL OF THE SSHAC REPORT
  • GENERAL SHORTCOMINGS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE SSHAC REPORT
  • SOME CONTRIBUTIONS OF SSHAC TO HAZARD ASSESSMENT
  • The TFI Methodology
  • Clear Definition of Experts' Distinct Roles as Proponents, Evaluators, and Integrators
  • Results of SSHAC-Sponsored WorkshopsReferences
  • Appendix A ACRONYMS
  • Appendix B LETTER REPORT OF THE PANEL ON SEISMIC HAZARD EVALUATION, MARCH 1995
  • GENERAL COMMENTS
  • CONCERNS AND PROBLEMS
  • Recommendations for Improvement
  • SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL CONCERNS