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Tourism demand modelling and forecasting : modern econometric approaches /
"The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications." "The book begins wit...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Otros Autores: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Amsterdam ; New York :
Pergamon,
2000.
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| Edición: | 1st ed. |
| Colección: | Advances in tourism research series.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
| Sumario: | "The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications." "The book begins with an introduction to the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, before addressing the problems of traditional tourism demand modelling and forecasting, i.e. data mining and spurious regression due to common trends in the time series. Three chapters explore the general-to-specific approach to tourism demand modelling and forecasting, including the use of autoregressive distributed lag processes, cointegration analysis and error correction models. The time varying parameter model together with the use of the Kalman filter as an estimation method is a useful tool for examining the effects of regime shifts on tourism demand elasticities: this is explored next. The panel data approach is introduced as a way of overcoming the problem of estimation and forecasting biases caused by insufficient time series data. Finally, the book concludes by evaluating the empirical forecasting performance of the various models and putting forward some general conclusions."--Jacket |
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| Descripción Física: | 1 online resource (viii, 178 pages) : illustrations |
| Bibliografía: | Includes bibliographical references (pages 167-171) and indexes. |
| ISBN: | 0585474567 9780585474564 9780080436739 0080436730 1136353569 9781136353567 1282380737 9781282380738 9786612380730 661238073X 0080519415 9780080519418 |