Forecasting and Management of Technology

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Porter, Alan L.
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Newark : John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated, 2011.
Colección:New York Academy of Sciences Ser.
Temas:
Electronic books.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover
  • Titlepage
  • Copyright
  • Contents
  • Acknowledgments
  • 1 Introduction
  • 1.1 About This Book
  • 1.2 Technology and Society
  • 1.2.1 Social Change
  • 1.2.2 Technological Change
  • 1.3 Management and the Future
  • 1.3.1 Management and Innovation Processes
  • 1.3.2 The Role of Technology Forecasting
  • 1.3.3 The Importance of Technology Forecasting
  • 1.3.4 The Role of Social Forecasting
  • 1.4 Conclusions
  • References
  • 2 Technology Forecasting
  • 2.1 What Is Technology Forecasting?
  • 2.1.1 Models of Technology Growth and Diffusion
  • 2.1.2 Technology Forecasting in Context
  • 2.1.3 What Makes a Forecast Good?
  • 2.1.4 Common Errors in Forecasting Technology
  • 2.2 Methodological Foundations
  • 2.2.1 The Technology Delivery System
  • 2.2.2 Inquiring Systems
  • 2.3 Technology Forecasting Methods
  • 2.3.1 Overview of the Most Frequently Used Forecasting Methods
  • 2.3.2 Method Selection
  • 2.4 Conclusion
  • References
  • 3 Managing the Forecasting Project
  • 3.1 Information Needs of the Forecasting Project
  • 3.1.1 The Technology Manager's Needs
  • 3.1.2 The Forecast Manager's Needs
  • 3.1.3 Information about Team Members
  • 3.2 Planning the Technology Forecast
  • 3.3 Team Organization, Management, and Communications
  • 3.3.1 Organizing and Managing the Technology Forecast
  • 3.3.2 Communications
  • 3.3.3 Summary Conclusions about Project Management and Organization
  • 3.4 Success: The Right Information at the Right Time
  • 3.5 Project Scheduling
  • 3.5.1 Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
  • 3.5.2 Gantt Chart
  • 3.5.3 Project Accountability Chart (PAC)
  • 3.5.4 Project Scheduling Software
  • 3.6 Conclusions
  • References
  • 4 Exploring
  • 4.1 Establishing the Context-the TDS
  • 4.1.1 Societal and Institutional Contexts
  • 4.1.2 Technology Context
  • 4.1.3 Stakeholders
  • 4.1.4 Understanding the TDS
  • 4.1.5 An Example TDS Model
  • 4.2 Monitoring
  • 4.2.1 Why Monitor?
  • 4.2.2 Who Should Monitor?
  • 4.2.3 Monitoring Strategy
  • 4.2.4 Monitoring Focused on Management of Technology Issues
  • 4.2.5 Monitoring Focused on the Stage of the Technology Development
  • 4.3 The Stimulation of Creativity
  • 4.3.1 Five Elements of Creativity
  • 4.3.2 Group Creativity
  • 4.4 Conclusion
  • References
  • 5 Gathering and Using Information
  • 5.1 Expert Opinion
  • 5.1.1 Selecting Experts
  • 5.1.2 Selecting Expert Opinion Techniques
  • 5.2 Gathering Information on the Internet
  • 5.2.1 Science and Technology on the Internet
  • 5.2.2 Society and Culture on the Internet
  • 5.3 Structuring the Search
  • 5.4 Preparing Search Results
  • 5.5 Using Search Results
  • 5.6 Developing Science, Technology, and Social Indicators
  • 5.6.1 Science and Technology Indicators
  • 5.6.2 Social Indicators
  • 5.7 Communicating Search Results
  • 5.8 Conclusions
  • References
  • 6 Analyzing Phase
  • 6.1 Perspective on Data and Methods
  • 6.1.1 Overview and Caveats
  • 6.1.2 Internet Time Series Data and Trends
  • 6.1.3 Analytical Modeling

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