Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Haimes, Yacov Y.
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Newark : John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated, 2015.
Colección:New York Academy of Sciences Ser.
Temas:
Electronic books.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Intro
  • Title page
  • Table of Contents
  • Preface to the Fourth Edition
  • The Companion Website
  • Acknowledgments
  • ACKNOWLEDGMENTS TO THE FIRST EDITION
  • ACKNOWLEDGMENTS TO THE SECOND EDITION
  • ACKNOWLEDGMENTS TO THE THIRD EDITION
  • ACKNOWLEDGMENTS TO THE FOURTH EDITION
  • Part I: Fundamentals of Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management
  • 1 The Art and Science of Systems and Risk Analysis
  • 1.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 1.2 SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
  • 1.3 RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT
  • 1.4 CONCEPT ROAD MAP
  • 1.5 EPILOGUE
  • REFERENCES
  • 2 The Role of Modeling in the Definition and Quantification of the Risk Function
  • 2.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 2.2 THE RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT PROCESS: HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVES
  • 2.3 INFORMATION, INTELLIGENCE, AND MODELS
  • 2.4 THE BUILDING BLOCKS OF MATHEMATICAL MODELS
  • 2.5 ON THE COMPLEX DEFINITION OF RISK, VULNERABILITY, AND RESILIENCE: A SYSTEMS-BASED APPROACH
  • 2.6 ON THE DEFINITION OF VULNERABILITIES IN MEASURING RISKS TO SYSTEMS
  • 2.7 ON THE DEFINITION OF RESILIENCE IN MEASURING RISK TO SYSTEMS
  • 2.8 ON THE COMPLEX QUANTIFICATION OF RISK TO SYSTEMS
  • REFERENCES
  • 3 Identifying Risk through Hierarchical Holographic Modeling and Its Derivatives
  • 3.1 HIERARCHICAL ASPECTS
  • 3.2 HIERARCHICAL OVERLAPPING COORDINATION
  • 3.3 HHM
  • 3.4 HHM AND THE THEORY OF SCENARIO STRUCTURING
  • 3.5 ADAPTIVE MULTIPLAYER HHM GAME
  • 3.6 WATER RESOURCES SYSTEM
  • 3.7 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
  • 3.8 HHM IN A SYSTEM ACQUISITION PROJECT
  • 3.9 SOFTWARE ACQUISITION
  • 3.10 HARDENING THE WATER SUPPLY INFRASTRUCTURE
  • 3.11 RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT FOR SUPPORT OF OPERATIONS OTHER THAN WAR
  • 3.12 AUTOMATED HIGHWAY SYSTEM
  • 3.13 FOOD-POISONING SCENARIOS
  • REFERENCES
  • 4 Modeling and Decision Analysis
  • 4.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 4.2 DECISION RULES UNDER UNCERTAINTY
  • 4.3 DECISION TREES
  • 4.4 DECISION MATRIX
  • 4.5 THE FRACTILE METHOD
  • 4.6 TRIANGULAR DISTRIBUTION
  • 4.7 INFLUENCE DIAGRAMS
  • 4.8 POPULATION DYNAMIC MODELS
  • 4.9 PSM
  • 4.10 EXAMPLE PROBLEMS
  • REFERENCES
  • 5 Multiobjective Trade-Off Analysis
  • 5.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 5.2 EXAMPLES OF MULTIPLE ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIVES
  • 5.3 THE SURROGATE WORTH TRADE-OFF METHOD
  • 5.4 CHARACTERIZING A PROPER NONINFERIOR SOLUTION
  • 5.5 THE SWT METHOD AND THE UTILITY FUNCTION APPROACH
  • 5.6 EXAMPLE PROBLEMS
  • 5.7 SUMMARY
  • REFERENCES
  • 6 Defining Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis
  • 6.1 INTRODUCTION
  • 6.2 SENSITIVITY, RESPONSIVITY, STABILITY, AND IRREVERSIBILITY
  • 6.3 UNCERTAINTIES DUE TO ERRORS IN MODELING
  • 6.4 CHARACTERIZATION OF MODELING ERRORS
  • 6.5 UNCERTAINTY TAXONOMY
  • 6.6 THE USIM
  • 6.7 FORMULATION OF THE MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION PROBLEM
  • 6.8 A ROBUST ALGORITHM OF THE USIM
  • 6.9 INTEGRATION OF THE USIM WITH PARAMETER OPTIMIZATION AT THE DESIGN STAGE
  • 6.10 CONCLUSIONS
  • REFERENCES
  • 7 Risk Filtering, Ranking, and Management
  • 7.1 INTRODUCTION

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