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Megaproject risk analysis and simulation : a dynamic systems approach /
Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation. This is backed up by a disc...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Bingley :
Emerald Publishing Limited,
2017.
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| Colección: | Online access with EBA: Emerald Business, Management & Economics.
|
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo Texto completo |
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Boateng, Prince, |e author. | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Megaproject risk analysis and simulation : |b a dynamic systems approach / |c by Prince Boateng, Zhen Chen, Stephen O. Ogunlana. |
| 264 | 1 | |a Bingley : |b Emerald Publishing Limited, |c 2017. | |
| 264 | 4 | |c ©2017 | |
| 300 | |a 1 online resource (288 pages) | ||
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| 504 | |a Includes bibliographical references and index. | ||
| 520 | |a Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation. This is backed up by a discussion of the methodology as applied in a comprehensive case study on the Edinburgh Tram Network (ETN) project. The book informs both academic researchers and megaproject stakeholders with the latest information on risk as applied to megaprojects. As well as the complete case study, the book includes a general risk analysis framework for megaprojects, an analytic network process (ANP) method for risk quantification, a system dynamics (SD) method for risk simulation, and practical guides for the application of the dynamic systems approach in megaproject research and practice. | ||
| 505 | 0 | |a Front Cover; Megaproject Risk Analysis and Simulation: A Dynamic Systems Approach; Copyright Page; Dedication; Contents; Abbreviations; List of Figures; List of Tables; List of Exhibits; List of Equations; Acknowledgements; About the Authors; Preface; Foreword; Chapter 1 Introduction; 1.1. Introduction; 1.2. The Problem with Megaprojects; 1.2.1. Megaproject Risks; 1.2.2. Megaproject Risk Assessment; 1.2.3. A New Risk Assessment Framework; 1.3. Purpose and Scope; 1.4. Structure of the Book; 1.5. Originality and Value; 1.6. Summary; Chapter 2 The Edinburgh Tram Network (ETN) Project. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 2.1. Introduction2.2. Background to the Project; 2.2.1. The 1871-1956 Era; 2.2.2. The New Edinburgh Tram Network; 2.2.3. Tram Network Construction and Civil Engineering Works; 2.2.4. Contractual Disputes; 2.3. STEEP Risks; 2.3.1. Social Issues; 2.3.2. Technical Issues; 2.3.3. Environmental Issues; 2.3.4. Political Issues; 2.4. Summary; Chapter 3 Megaproject Risks Assessment Framework; 3.1. Introduction; 3.2. Risk Analysis Framework; 3.2.1. The ANP Modelling Route; 3.2.1.1. ANP model structure development; 3.2.1.2. Pairwise comparison; 3.2.1.3. Consistency test; 3.2.2. The SD Modelling Route. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 3.3. Risk Clusters3.3.1. The Social Risks Cluster; 3.3.2. Technical Risk Cluster; 3.3.3. Economic Risks; 3.3.3.1. Completion risks; 3.3.3.2. Market risk; 3.3.4. Environmental Risk Cluster; 3.3.5. Political Risk Cluster; 3.4. Summary; Chapter 4 Megaproject Risk Quantification; 4.1. Introduction; 4.2. Analysis of Risk Interdependency; 4.2.1. Qualitative Approaches; 4.2.2. The Quantitative Approach; 4.2.3. Descriptive Quantitative Results and Analysis; 4.2.4. Standardized Quantitative Results and Analysis; 4.2.5. Adjustments of Participants' Opinions; 4.3. ANP Model; 4.4. Pairwise Comparison. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 4.5. Risk Interdependency Matrix4.5.1. Project Objectives Cluster; 4.5.2. Potential Risks Cluster; 4.5.3. Potential Risks Sub-Clusters; 4.6. Supermatrix Calculation; 4.7. Risk Rating; 4.8. Consistency Test; 4.9. Risk Priority Index (RPI); 4.10. Summary; Chapter 5 Risk Simulation; 5.1. Introduction; 5.2. Project Risk Systems Model; 5.2.1. Model Causality; 5.2.2. Initial Model Development; 5.2.3. System Boundaries; 5.3. STEEP Risks System; 5.3.1. Social Risks System; 5.3.1.1. The vicious cycle of social risks generation; 5.3.1.2. The vicious cycle of grievance prevention. | |
| 505 | 8 | |a 5.3.1.3. Causalities for social risk stock variables5.3.2. Technical Risks System; 5.3.2.1. Causalities for technical risk stock variables; 5.3.3. Economic Risks System; 5.3.3.1. Causalities for the economic risks stock variables; 5.3.4. Environmental Risks System; 5.3.4.1. Causalities for environmental risks stock variables; 5.3.5. Political Risks System; 5.3.5.1. Causalities for political risks stock variables; 5.4. System Verification; 5.5. System Modelling, Testing and Simulation; 5.5.1. Integrated Stock and Flow STEEP Models; 5.5.2. Model Equation Formulation. | |
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| 650 | 0 | |a Project management. | |
| 650 | 0 | |a Risk assessment. | |
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| 650 | 6 | |a Évaluation du risque. | |
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