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Medical statistics from scratch : an introduction for health professionals /

Medical Statistics from Scratch is the ideal learning partner for all medical students and health professionals needing accessible introduction, or a friendly refresher, to the fundamentals of medical statistics. This new fourth, edition been completely revised, the examples from current research up...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Bowers, David, 1938- (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Hoboken NJ : WileyBlackwell, 2020.
Edición:Fourth edition.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Machine generated contents note: 1. First things first
  • the nature of data
  • Variables and data
  • Where are we going ...?
  • The good, the bad, and the ugly
  • types of variables
  • Categorical data
  • Nominal categorical data
  • Ordinal categorical data
  • Metric data
  • Discrete metric data
  • Continuous metric data
  • How can I tell what type of variable I am dealing with?
  • The baseline table
  • 2. Describing data with tables
  • Descriptive statistics. What can we do with raw data?
  • Frequency tables
  • nominal data
  • The frequency distribution
  • Relative frequency
  • Frequency tables
  • ordinal data
  • Frequency tables
  • metric data
  • Frequency tables with discrete metric data
  • Cumulative frequency
  • Frequency tables with continuous metric data
  • grouping the raw data
  • Open-ended groups
  • Cross-tabulation
  • contingency tables
  • Ranking data
  • 3. Every picture tells a story
  • describing data with charts
  • Picture it!
  • Charting nominal and ordinal data
  • The pie chart
  • The simple bar chart
  • The clustered bar chart
  • The stacked bar chart
  • Charting discrete metric data
  • Charting continuous metric data
  • The histogram
  • The box (and whisker) plot
  • Charting cumulative data
  • The cumulative frequency curve with discrete metric data
  • The cumulative frequency curve with continuous metric data
  • Charting time-based data
  • the time series chart
  • The scatterplot
  • The bubbleplot
  • 4. Describing data from its shape
  • The shape of things to come
  • Skewness and kurtosis as measures of shape
  • Kurtosis
  • Symmetric or mound-shaped distributions
  • Normalness
  • the Normal distribution
  • Bimodal distributions
  • Determining skew from a box plot
  • 5. Measures of location
  • Numbers R us
  • Numbers, percentages, and proportions
  • Preamble
  • Numbers, percentages, and proportions
  • Handling percentages
  • for those of us who might need a reminder
  • Summary measures of location
  • The mode
  • The median
  • The mean
  • Percentiles
  • Calculating a percentile value
  • What is the most appropriate measure of location?
  • 6. Measures of spread
  • Numbers R us
  • (again)
  • Preamble
  • The range
  • The interquartile range (IQR)
  • Estimating the median and interquartile range from the cumulative frequency curve
  • The boxplot (also known as the box and whisker plot)
  • Standard deviation
  • Standard deviation and the Normal distribution
  • Testing for Normality
  • Using SPSS
  • Using Minitab
  • Transforming data
  • 7. Incidence, prevalence, and standardisation
  • Preamble
  • The incidence rate and the incidence rate ratio (IRR)
  • The incidence rate ratio
  • Prevalence
  • A couple of difficulties with measuring incidence and prevalence
  • Some other useful rates
  • Crude mortality rate
  • Case fatality rate
  • Crude maternal mortality rate
  • Crude birth rate
  • Attack rate
  • Age-specific mortality rate
  • Standardisation
  • the age-standardised mortality rate
  • The direct method
  • The standard population and the comparative mortality ratio (CMR)
  • The indirect method
  • The standardised mortality rate
  • 8. Confounding
  • like the poor, (nearly) always with us
  • Preamble
  • What is confounding?
  • Confounding by indication
  • Residual confounding
  • Detecting confounding
  • Dealing with confounding
  • if confounding is such a problem, what can we do about it?
  • Using restriction
  • Using matching
  • Frequency matching
  • One-to-one matching
  • Using stratification
  • Using adjustment
  • Using randomisation
  • 9. Research design
  • Part I: Observational study designs
  • Preamble
  • Hey ho! Hey ho! It's off to work we go
  • Types of study
  • Observational studies
  • Case reports
  • Case series studies
  • Cross-sectional studies
  • Descriptive cross-sectional studies
  • Confounding in descriptive cross-sectional studies
  • Analytic cross-sectional studies
  • Confounding in analytic cross-sectional studies
  • From here to eternity
  • cohort studies
  • Confounding in the cohort study design
  • Back to the future
  • case-control studies
  • Confounding in the case-control study design
  • Another example of a case-control study
  • Comparing cohort and case-control designs
  • Ecological studies
  • The ecological fallacy
  • 10. Research design
  • Part II: getting stuck in
  • experimental studies
  • Clinical trials
  • Randomisation and the randomised controlled trial (RCT)
  • Block randomisation
  • Stratification
  • Blinding
  • The crossover RCT
  • Selection of participants for an RCT
  • Intention to treat analysis (ITT)
  • 11. Getting the participants for your study: ways of sampling
  • From populations to samples
  • statistical inference
  • Collecting the data
  • types of sample
  • The simple random sample and its offspring
  • The systematic random sample
  • The stratified random sample
  • The cluster sample
  • Consecutive and convenience samples
  • How many participants should we have? Sample size
  • Inclusion and exclusion criteria
  • Getting the data
  • V Chance Would Be a Fine Thing
  • 12. The idea of probability
  • Preamble
  • Calculating probability
  • proportional frequency
  • Two useful rules for simple probability
  • Rule 1. The multiplication rule for independent events
  • Rule 2. The addition rule for mutually exclusive events
  • Conditional and Bayesian statistics
  • Probability distributions
  • Discrete versus continuous probability distributions
  • The binomial probability distribution
  • The Poisson probability distribution
  • The Normal probability distribution
  • 13. Risk and odds
  • Absolute risk and the absolute risk reduction (ARR)
  • The risk ratio
  • The reduction in the risk ratio (or relative risk reduction (RRR))
  • A general formula for the risk ratio
  • Reference value
  • Number needed to treat (NNT)
  • What happens if the initial risk is small?
  • Confounding with the risk ratio
  • Odds
  • Why you can't calculate risk in a case-control study
  • The link between probability and odds
  • The odds ratio
  • Confounding with the odds ratio
  • Approximating the risk ratio from the odds ratio
  • 14. Estimating the value of a single population parameter
  • the idea of confidence intervals
  • Confidence interval estimation for a population mean
  • The standard error of the mean
  • How we use the standard error of the mean to calculate a confidence interval for a population mean
  • Confidence interval for a population proportion
  • Estimating a confidence interval for the median of a single population
  • 15. Using confidence intervals to compare two population parameters
  • What's the difference?
  • Comparing two independent population means
  • An example using birthweights
  • Assessing the evidence using the confidence interval
  • Comparing two paired population means
  • Within-subject and between-subject variations
  • Comparing two independent population proportions
  • Comparing two independent population medians
  • the Mann-Whitney rank sums method
  • Comparing two matched population medians
  • the Wilcoxon signed-ranks method
  • 16. Confidence intervals for the ratio of two population parameters
  • Getting a confidence interval for the ratio of two independent population means
  • Confidence interval for a population risk ratio
  • Confidence intervals for a population odds ratio
  • Confidence intervals for hazard ratios
  • 17.
  • Testing hypotheses about the difference between two population parameters
  • Answering the question
  • The hypothesis
  • The null hypothesis
  • The hypothesis testing process
  • The p-value and the decision rule
  • A brief summary of a few of the commonest tests
  • Using the p-value to compare the means of two independent populations
  • Interpreting computer hypothesis test results for the difference in two independent population means
  • the two-sample t test
  • Output from Minitab
  • two-sample t test of difference in mean birthweights of babies born to white mothers and to non-white mothers
  • Output from SPSS: two-sample t test of difference in mean birthweights of babies born to white mothers and to non-white mothers
  • Comparing the means of two paired populations
  • the matched-pairs t test
  • Using p-values to compare the medians of two independent populations: the Mann-Whitney rank-sums test
  • How the Mann-Whitney test works
  • Correction for multiple comparisons
  • The Bonferroni correction for multiple testing
  • Interpreting computer output for the Mann-Whitney test
  • With Minitab
  • With SPSS
  • Two matched medians
  • the Wilcoxon signed-ranks test
  • Confidence intervals versus hypothesis testing
  • What could possibly go wrong?
  • Types of error
  • The power of a test
  • Maximising power
  • calculating sample size
  • Rule of thumb 1. Comparing the means of two independent populations (metric data)
  • Rule of thumb 2. Comparing the proportions of two independent populations (binary data)
  • 18. The Chi-squared (x2) test
  • what, why, and how?
  • Of all the tests in all the world
  • you had to walk into my hypothesis testing procedure
  • Using chi-squared to test for related-ness or for the equality of proportions
  • Calculating the chi-squared statistic
  • Using the chi-squared statistic
  • Yate's correction (continuity correction)
  • Fisher's exact test
  • The chi-squared test with Minitab
  • The chi-squared test with SPSS
  • The chi-squared test for trend
  • SPSS output for chi-squared trend test
  • 19. Testing hypotheses about the ratio of two population parameters
  • Preamble
  • The chi-squared test with the risk ratio
  • The chi-squared test with odds ratios
  • The chi-squared test with hazard ratios
  • 20. Measuring the association between two variables
  • Preamble
  • plotting data
  • Association
  • The scatterplot
  • The correlation coefficient
  • Pearson's correlation coefficient
  • Is the correlation coefficient statistically significant in the population?
  • Spearman's rank correlation coefficient
  • 21. Measuring agreement
  • To agree or not agree: that is the question
  • Cohen's kappa (x)
  • Note continued: Some shortcomings of kappa
  • Weighted kappa
  • Measuring the agreement between two metric continuous variables, the Bland-Altmann plot
  • 22. Straight line models: linear regression
  • Health warning!
  • Relationship and association
  • A causal relationship
  • explaining variation
  • Refresher
  • finding the equation of a straight line from a graph
  • The linear regression model
  • First, is the relationship linear?
  • Estimating the regression parameters
  • the method of ordinary least squares (OLS)
  • Basic assumptions of the ordinary least squares procedure
  • Back to the example
  • is the relationship statistically significant?
  • Using SPSS to regress birthweight on mother's weight
  • Using Minitab
  • Interpreting the regression coefficients
  • Goodness-of-fit, R2
  • Multiple linear regression
  • Adjusted goodness-of-fit: R2
  • Including nominal covariates in the regression model: design variables and coding
  • Building your model. Which variables to include?
  • Automated variable selection methods
  • Manual variable selection methods
  • Adjustment and confounding
  • Diagnostics
  • checking the basic assumptions of the multiple linear regression model
  • Analysis of variance
  • 23. Curvy models: logistic regression
  • A second health warning!
  • The binary outcome variable
  • Finding an appropriate model when the outcome variable is binary
  • The logistic regression model
  • Estimating the parameter values
  • Interpreting the regression coefficients
  • Have we got a significant result? statistical inference in the logistic regression model
  • The Odds Ratio
  • The multiple logistic regression model
  • Building the model
  • Goodness-of-fit
  • 24. Counting models: Poisson regression
  • Preamble
  • Poisson regression
  • The Poisson regression equation
  • Estimating pi and 13, with the estimators b0 and b1
  • Interpreting the estimated coefficients of a Poisson regression, b0 and b1
  • Model building
  • variable selection
  • Goodness-of-fit
  • Zero-inflated Poisson regression
  • Negative binomial regression
  • Zero-inflated negative binomial regression
  • 25. Measuring survival
  • Preamble
  • Censored data
  • A simple example of survival in a single group
  • Calculating survival probabilities and the proportion surviving: the Kaplan-Meier table
  • The Kaplan-Meier curve
  • Determining median survival time
  • Comparing survival with two groups
  • The log-rank test
  • An example of the log-rank test in practice
  • The hazard ratio
  • The proportional hazards (Cox's) regression model
  • introduction
  • The proportional hazards (Cox's) regression model
  • the detail
  • Checking the assumptions of the proportional hazards model
  • An example of proportional hazards regression
  • 26. Systematic review and meta-analysis
  • Introduction
  • Systematic review
  • The forest plot
  • Publication and other biases
  • The funnel. plot
  • Significance tests for bias
  • Begg's and Egger's tests
  • Combining the studies: meta-analysis
  • The problem of heterogeneity
  • the Q and I2 tests
  • 27. Diagnostic testing
  • Preamble
  • The measures
  • sensitivity and specificity
  • The positive prediction and negative prediction values (PPV and NPV)
  • The sensitivity-specificity trade-off
  • Using the ROC curve to find the optimal sensitivity versus specificity trade-off
  • 28. Missing data
  • The missing data problem
  • Types of missing data
  • Missing completely at random (MCAR)
  • Missing at Random (MAR)
  • Missing not at random (MNAR)
  • Consequences of missing data
  • Dealing with missing data
  • Do nothing
  • the wing and prayer approach
  • List-wise deletion
  • Pair-wise deletion
  • Imputation methods
  • simple imputation
  • Replacement by the Mean
  • Last observation carried forward
  • Regression-based imputation
  • Multiple imputation
  • Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) and other methods.