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Microsimulation and population dynamics : an introduction to Modgen 12 /

This book is a practical, step-by-step introduction to microsimulation in demography. It shows how to use Modgen, a powerful and free microsimulation platform built by Statistics Canada. The authors' hands-on explanation of model development will help readers make their own. The book teaches ho...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores principales: Bélanger, Alain (Autor), Sabourin, Patrick (Autor)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Cham, Switzerland : Springer, [2017]
Colección:Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis ; 43.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Microsimulation and population dynamics :  |b an introduction to Modgen 12 /  |c Alain Bélanger, Patrick Sabourin. 
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490 1 |a Springer series on demographic methods and population analysis ;  |v 43 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references and index. 
588 0 |a Vendor-supplied metadata. 
505 0 |a Dedication; Foreword; Installing Modgen 12; Contents; List of Figures; Introduction; From Multi-state Macro Models to Microsimulation; What Is Modgen?; Types of Models; Structure of the Book; Chapter 1: Creating a Basic Cohort Model; 1.1 Using the New Model Wizard; 1.2 The ModgenExample.mpp File (Appendix 1.1); 1.3 The PersonCore.mpp File (Appendix 1.2); 1.4 Compiling and Running the Simulation Program; 1.5 Summary; Appendices; Appendix 1.1 ModgenExample.mpp; Appendix 1.2 PersonCore.mpp; Chapter 2: The Life Table; 2.1 Adding a Classification; 2.2 Adding a Numerical Range. 
505 8 |a 2.3 Adding an Event: The Birthday Event; 2.4 Modifying the Start Function; 2.5 Modifying the Mortality Event Function; 2.6 Adding Values in the Parameters File; 2.7 Generating New Tables: The Elements of the Life Table; 2.7.1 Derived States in the Table; 2.8 Modifying Parameters and Reorganising Tables with the User Interface; 2.9 Summary; Appendices; Appendix 2.1 PersonCore.mpp; Appendix 2.2 Base(PersonCore).dat; Chapter 3: The Multiple Increment-Decrement Life Table; 3.1 Self-Scheduling Events: The self_scheduling_int Function; 3.2 Creating a New Module for Interprovincial Migration. 
505 8 |a 3.3 Assigning a Province of Birth Using a cumrate Parameter and the Lookup Function; 3.4 Adding an Internal Migration Event; 3.5 Modifying the Mortality Parameter; 3.6 Multi-regional Tables; 3.7 Manipulating Tables in Modgen (Advanced Topic); 3.8 Adding a Parameter File to a Scenario; 3.9 Summary; Appendices; Appendix 3.1 PersonCore.mpp; Appendix 3.2 Migration.mpp; Appendix 3.3 Base(Migration).dat; Chapter 4: Modelling Fertility; 4.1 Adding Calendar Time; 4.2 Creating a Fertility Module; 4.3 Modifying the PersonCore Module and the Start Function. 
505 8 |a 4.4 Bringing the Tables Together in a Results Module; 4.5 Looking at the Results; 4.6 Summary; Appendices; Appendix 4.1 PersonCore.mpp; Appendix 4.2 Fertility.mpp; Appendix 4.3 Tables.mpp; Appendix 4.4 ModgenExample.mpp; Chapter 5: The Base Population; 5.1 Preparing a Microdata File; 5.2 Importing External Data into Modgen; 5.3 Integrating Import Functions into the Main File; 5.4 Using the Imported Data and Modifying the Start Function; 5.5 Modifying Calendar Time; 5.6 Modifying the Scenario and Running the Model; 5.7 Summary; Appendices; Appendix 5.1 ModgenExample.mpp. 
505 8 |a Appendix 5.2 PersonCore.mpp; Appendix 5.3 Tables.mpp; Chapter 6: International Migration; 6.1 Creating an International Migration Module; 6.2 The Emigration Event; 6.3 Modifying the Start Function; 6.4 Modifying the Simulation Loop to Include Immigration; 6.5 Adjusting Weights; 6.6 Generating Results; 6.7 Summary; Appendices; Appendix 6.1 InternationalMigration.mpp; Appendix 6.2 ModgenExample.mpp; Appendix 6.3 PersonCore.mpp; Appendix 6.4 Tables.mpp; Conclusion; Appendix: Coding Standards; Glossary; References; Index. 
520 |a This book is a practical, step-by-step introduction to microsimulation in demography. It shows how to use Modgen, a powerful and free microsimulation platform built by Statistics Canada. The authors' hands-on explanation of model development will help readers make their own. The book teaches how to create and run a simple cohort model with a single fixed-rate event, and builds upon this concept. It introduces how to develop both a single state life table as well as a multiple increment-decrement life table using the tools provided by Modgen. The authors illustrate how to easily upgrade an existing model by adding new modules and new dimensions as determinants of a risk already modeled. The integration of a fertility module and a base population allows the user to bring new actors into the simulation and transform a cohort-based model into a population-based one. The final addition of an international migration module allows the user to accomplish fully open, multi-regional projections. This accessible introduction will be of interest to researchers and students in population studies and other social sciences. It will also appeal to anyone interested in the computational modeling of population dynamics. 
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