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Global economic prospects. January 2016, Spillovers amid weak growth.

This title examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on developing countries. The report includes analysis of topical policy challenges faced by developing countries through in-depth research in the January edition and shorter analytical pieces in the June edition.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor Corporativo: World Bank Group
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, DC : World Bank Group, [2016]
Colección:World Bank Group flagship report.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Executive Summary; Abbreviations; Chapter 1 Global Outlook: Disappointments, Risks, and Spillovers; Summary and key messages; Major economies; Global trends and spillovers; Developing countries; Risks to the outlook; Policy challenges; References; Special Focus: From Commodity Discovery to Production: Vulnerabilities and Policies in LICs; Introduction; Lead times between discovery and production; Evolution from commodity discovery to production; Determinants of the lead time; Policy implications.
  • Recent developments and near-term outlook in low-income countriesAnnex SF. 1; References; Chapter 2 Regional Outlooks; East Asia and Pacific; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.1.1 Regional integration and spillovers: East Asia and Pacific; Europe and Central Asia; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.2.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Europe and Central Asia; Latin America and the Caribbean; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.3.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Latin America and the Caribbean.
  • Middle East and North AfricaRecent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.4.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Middle East and North Africa; South Asia; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.5.1 Regional integration and spillovers: South Asia; Sub-Saharan Africa; Recent developments; Outlook; Risks; Policy challenges; Box 2.6.1 Regional integration and spillovers: Sub-Saharan Africa; References; Chapter 3 Who Catches a Cold When Emerging Markets Sneeze?; Introduction; What are the key channels of spillovers from the major emerging markets?
  • Do business cycles in BRICS move in tandem with those in other emerging markets and frontier markets?How large are the spillovers from the major emerging markets?; What are the policy implications?; Conclusion; Box 3.1 Sources of the growth slowdown in BRICS; Box 3.2 Understanding cross-border growth spillovers; Box 3.3 Within-region spillovers; Annex 3.1 Data; Annex 3.2 Methodology; Annex 3.3 Empirical estimates of spillovers from emerging markets; References; Chapter 4 Two Topical Issues; Potential Macroeconomic Implications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership; Introduction.
  • How do new generation trade agreements differ from traditional FTAs?What are the main features of the Trans-Pacific Partnership?; What are the potential macroeconomic implications of the TPP?; Conclusion; Box 4.1.1 Regulatory convergence in mega-regional trade agreements; Annex 4.1 Methodology; Peg and Control? The Links between Exchange Rate Regimes and Capital Account Policies; Introduction; What does economic theory say about the choice of ERRs and CFMs?; What do the data say about ERRs and CFMs?; What are the main empirical linkages between the choices of ERR and CFM?; Conclusion.