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In Pursuit of Foresight : Disaster Incubation Theory Re-imagined.

Many inquiry reports blame management for their failures of foresight. These reports are based on the premise that, with a little more thought, these oversights, and so the crisis, would have been avoided. Is it really that simple? The important question is whether, without hindsight, it would have...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Lauder, Mike, Dr
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Farnham : Ashgate Publishing Ltd, 2015.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Acknowledgements; 1 In Appreciation of Barry Turner; Introduction; Aim; Disaster Incubation Theory Described; Case Studies; Reshaping Turner's Model; Conclusion; 2 Selecting a Framework for Foresight; Introduction; Selection of a Framework; Approach; Chaos as the Norm; Conclusion; 3 Issues for Foresight; Introduction; Issues of Interest; Stage 1
  • Notionally Normal Starting Point; Stage 2
  • Incubation Period; Stage 3
  • Onset; Catalytic Questions; Conclusion; 4 Debate Framework; Introduction.
  • Developing a Catalytic FrameworkGeneralisation; Intelligent Countermoves; Foresight or Hindsight; Framework; Conclusion; 5 Lesson to be Learnt; Introduction; Turner's Phenomena; Revised Questions; The "What"; The "How"; Conclusions; 6 Pursuing Foresight; Introduction; Looking Back; Looking Forward; Using the Cube; Conclusion; Epilogue; Bibliography; Index.