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Politics, Paradigms, and Intelligence Failures : Why So Few Predicted the Collapse of the Soviet Union.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Seliktar, Ofira
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Florence : Taylor and Francis, 2015.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover ; Half Title ; Title Page ; Copyright Page ; Dedication ; Table of Contents ; List of Abbreviations ; Preface ; Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change; 1. Theories of Political Change and Prediction of Change: Methodological Problems; Methodological Problems of Tracking Changes in a Collective Belief System; The Dimensions of a Collective Belief System: Existential Imperatives as Validity Claims; Changing the Collective Belief System: The Process of Delegitimation; Activating the Process of Delegitimation: Trigger Conditions of Change.
  • The Durability of Legitimacy: Personal and Systemic Factors of MaintenanceLegitimacy of the Soviet Union: The Theory and Politics of a Concept; Rational Choice Theory and Soviet Legitimacy: Coercion and Preference Falsification; 2. Oligarchic Petrification or Pluralistic Transformation: Paradigmatic Views of the Soviet Union in the 1970s; The Totalitarian Model: Oligarchic Petrification and Final Doom; The Revisionist Model: Pluralistic Transformation and Final Convergence.
  • Revising the Revisionist View of the Soviet Union: Oligarchic Degeneration and Ideological Assertion in the Late Brezhnev Period 3. Paradigms and the Debate on Relations with the Soviet Union: Détente, New Internationalism, and Neoconservatism; The Realpolitik View of Détente: Securing American National Interests from a Declining Position of Power; The New Internationalist View of Détente: Superpowers Working Together for a Moral Universe; The Soviet View of Détente: Improving the Correlation of Forces
  • The Neoconservative View of Détente: Outmaneuvering the United States.
  • Afghanistan and the Triumph of Neoconservatism4. The Reagan Administration and the Soviet Interregnum: Accelerating the Demise of the Communist Empire; The Neoconservative Paradigm in Action: The Administration's Blueprint for Delegitimizing the Soviet Union; The Brezhnev-Andropov Transition: The View from Moscow; The Brezhnev-Andropov Transition: The View from Washington; The Andropov-Chernenko Transition: The View from Moscow; The Andropov-Chernenko Transition: The View from Washington; The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Moscow.
  • The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Washington 5. Acceleration: Tinkering Around the Edges, 1985-1986; Revisiting Communist Legitimacy: In Search of a New Formula; Domestic Reforms and Gorbachev's Foreign Policy: Clouding the Vision for a Global Class Struggle; Making Sense of Gorbachev: The Politics of the Predictive Process in Washington; The Revisionist Paradigm Vindicated? Gorbachev and the Reformability of the Soviet System; 6. Perestroika: Systemic Change,1987-1989.