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(NAS Colloquium) Earthquake Prediction : the Scientific Challenge.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington : National Academies Press, 1996.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • ""PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA""; ""Contents""; ""Earthquake prediction: The scientific challenge""; ""Earthquake prediction: The interaction of public policy and science""; ""CLASSIFICATIONS""; ""LONG-TERM PHENOMENA""; ""INTERMEDIATE-TERM PHENOMENA""; ""SHORT-TERM PHENOMENA""; ""DISCUSSION""; ""CONCLUSIONS""; ""Initiation process of earthquakes and its implications for seismic hazard reduction strategy""; ""SHORT-TERM STRAIN PRECURSORS""; ""VARIATIONS IN SLIP BEHAVIOR""; ""TRIGGERING""; ""A STRATEGY FOR SEISMIC HAZARD MITIGATION""
  • ""Intermediate- and long-term earthquake prediction""""EARTHQUAKES IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA""; ""LARGE EVENTS AS A QUASI-PERIODIC PROCESS""; ""RECENT BUILDUP OF ACTIVITY IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA""; ""DISCUSSION AND SUMMARY""; ""Scale dependence in earthquake phenomena and its relevance to earthquake prediction""; ""THREE-DIMENSIONAL STRUCTURE OF THE 1992 LANDERS EARTHQUAKE FAULT ZONE""; ""SEISMIC CODA WAVES""; ""INTRODUCING CODA Q (OR CODA Qâ??1)""; ""PHYSICAL MEANING OF CODA Qâ??1""; ""GEOGRAPHIC VARIATION IN CODA Q""; ""TEMPORAL CHANGE IN CODA Q""; ""DISCUSSION""
  • ""Intermediate-term earthquake prediction""""FOUR PARADIGMS""; ""PREDICTION ALGORITHMS""; ""ALGORITHM M8""; ""ALGORITHM CN""; ""ALGORITHM MENDOCINO SCENARIO""; ""PREDICTION OF THE NEXT STRONG EARTHQUAKE (34â€?37)""; ""SINGLE PREMONITORY SEISMICITY PATTERNS""; ""DISCUSSION""; ""A selective phenomenology of the seismicity of Southern California""; ""THE MAGNITUDE-FREQUENCY LAW""; ""LARGE EARTHQUAKES""; ""SPATIAL FLUCTUATIONS""; ""SMALL EARTHQUAKES: “THE G-R OR CHARACTERISTIC EARTHQUAKE DISTRIBUTION, WHICH IS IT?â€?""; ""SPACE-TIME FLUCTUATIONS""
  • ""STRESS FLUCTUATIONS AND THE FRACTURE PROCESS""""SUMMARY""; ""The repetition of large-earthquake ruptures""; ""EXAMPLES OF CHARACTERISTIC SLIP""; ""INTERACTION OF SLIP PATCHES""; ""EDGE EFFECTS, PATCH INTERACTION AND LEAKY PATCH BOUNDARIES""; ""HISTORY OF THE SOUTHERN SAN ANDREAS FAULT""; ""LARGE VARIATION IN AMOUNT OF CHARACTERISTIC SLIP""; ""DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS""; ""Hypothesis testing and earthquake prediction""; ""SINGLE PREDICTION""; ""MULTIPLE PREDICTIONS""; ""PROBABILISTIC PREDICTION""; ""PREDICTIONS BASED ON RATE-DENSITY MAPS""; ""DISCUSSION""
  • ""What electrical measurements can say about changes in fault systems""""LOMA PRIETA""; ""PALMDALE""; ""Geochemical challenge to earthquake prediction""; ""Implications of fault constitutive properties for earthquake prediction""; ""RATE- AND STATE-DEPENDENT FRICTION""; ""RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER CONSTITUTIVE CHARACTERIZATIONS""; ""UNSTABLE FAULT SLIP""; ""EARTHQUAKE NUCLEATION""; ""EFFECT OF STRESS CHANGES ON SEISMIC ACTIVITY""; ""FORESHOCKS""; ""DISCUSSION""; ""Nonuniformity of the constitutive law parameters for shear rupture and quasistatic nucleation to dynamic rupture: A physicalâ€?""