Risk Analysis and Uncertainty in Flood Damage Reduction Studies.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Reduction, Committee on Risk-Based Analysis for Flood Damage
Otros Autores: Staff, Water Science and Technology Board, Staff, National Research Council
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington : National Academies Press, 2000.
Temas:
Flood damage prevention > Risk assessment.
Flood damage prevention > Research.
Dommages causés par les inondations > Prévention > Évaluation du risque.
Dommages causés par les inondations > Prévention > Recherche.
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • RISK ANALYSIS AND UNCERTAINTY IN FLOOD DAMAGE REDUCTION STUDIES
  • Copyright
  • Preface
  • Contents
  • Executive Summary
  • APPLICATION OF RISK ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES
  • Risk Measures and Modeling
  • Economics
  • CONSISTENT TERMINOLOGY
  • LEVEE CERTIFICATION
  • FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT
  • 1 The Corps and U.S. Flood Damage Reduction Planning, Policies, and Programs
  • RISK ANALYSIS APPROACH
  • THE CORPS'S WATER RESOURCES PROJECT PLANNING PROCEDURES
  • From Principles and Standards to Principles and Guidelines
  • U.S. FEDERAL FLOOD PREPAREDNESS, MITIGATION, AND RESPONSE ACTIVITIESThe “Galloway Reportâ€?
  • 2 Decision Making and Communication Issues
  • THE GOAL OF FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT
  • MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES
  • COMPARING PROJECT ALTERNATIVES
  • FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES
  • RISK COMMUNICATION
  • 3 Risk Analysis Concepts and Terms
  • UNCERTAINTY
  • CONSISTENCY ACROSS PROGRAM AREAS
  • RISK ANALYSIS AND DECISION MAKING
  • 4 Risk Analysis Techniques
  • CORPS FRAMEWORK
  • NATURAL VARIABILITY AND IMPERFECT KNOWLEDGE
  • RISK ANALYSIS
  • MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
  • ASSESSMENT OF ENGINEERING PERFORMANCEGEOTECHNICAL RELIABILITY
  • 5 Case Studies
  • BEARGRASS CREEK
  • Flood Damage Reduction Measures
  • Damage Reaches
  • Flood Hydrology
  • Rainfallâ€?Runoff Model
  • Uncertainty in Flood Discharge
  • River Hydraulics
  • Uncertainty in Flood Stage
  • Economic Analysis
  • Uncertainty in Flood Damage
  • Project Planning
  • Evaluation of Project Alternatives
  • Risk of Flooding
  • Effect on Project Economics of Including Risk and Uncertainty
  • RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AT EAST GRAND FORKS, MINNESOTA, AND GRAND FORKS, NORTH DAKOTARisk Analysis
  • Dischargeâ€?Frequency Relationships
  • Elevationâ€?Discharge Relationships
  • Risk and Uncertainty Analysis Results
  • Project Reliability
  • 6 Evaluation and Proposed Improvements
  • CONCERNS WITH THE RISK ANALYSIS METHODS
  • ENGINEERING PERFORMANCE
  • Knowledge Uncertainty
  • HYDROLOGIC ANALYSIS
  • Parameter Uncertainty for the LP3 Distribution
  • Neglecting Skew Uncertainty
  • Errors in Flood Frequency Curves Derived from Rainfallâ€?Runoff Modeling
  • Errors in the Stage-Discharge RelationshipGEOTECHNICAL RELIABILITY
  • ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
  • INTERDEPENDENCE IN RISK ANALYSIS FOR FLOOD DAMAGE ASSESSMENT
  • CORRELATION LENGTH
  • SPATIAL AGGREGATION
  • COMPUTATIONAL ALTERNATIVES TO MINIMIZE CORRELATION EFFECTS
  • Determine the Scale of Randomization
  • Introduce Correlation in Monte Carlo Simulation
  • Randomize Structures Jointly
  • Randomize Hydrology and Hydraulics for River Reaches
  • Analyze Statistical Variability in Project Benefits Rather than Damage

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