Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover; CONTENTS; I. SELECTED REAL SECTOR ISSUES; A. Potential Output Estimates; TABLE; 1. Potential Output Growth and Output Gap Estimates; B. Estimating the Impact of Intel Exit; C. Labor Markets and Inequality; D. Electricity sector; BOX; 1. Methodologies for Potential Output Estimates; References; II. CROSS-BORDER LINKAGES AND SPILLOVERS; A. Trade Linkages; B. Real Growth Spillovers; C. Fiscal Spillovers; D. Financial Spillovers; E. Monetary Policy Spillovers (the Effect of U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization); TABLE; 1. Vulnerability Indicators; FIGURES; 1. Trade Linkages.
  • 2. Costa Rica and Selected Trading Partners-full title3. United States: Three Scenarios of Tapering Off (FSGM simulations); 4. The Impact of U.S. Tapering Off (FSGM simulations); References; III. ASSESSING FISCAL VULNERABILITY AND MEDIUM-TERM SUSTAINABILITY; FIGURE; 1. Long-Term Fiscal Sustainability; References; IV. THE CENTRAL BANK NET'S WORTH; A. Introduction; B. Baseline Simulation Results; C. Sensitivity Analysis; FIGURE; 1. Central Bank of Costa Rica: Sensitivity Analysis; BOX; 1. Balance Sheet Equations; References; V. MONETARY POLICY AND INFLATION; A. Monetary Policy Stance.
  • B. Pass-through from Exchange Rate Depreciation to InflationReferences; VI. TRANSITION TO A FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATE: LESSONS FROM PAST EXPERIENCE; A. Background; B. Dangers of Exchange Rate Inflexibility and the Advantages of Flexibility; C. Moving Toward Exchange Rate Flexibility: Experiences and Lessons from Other Countries; D. Assessing Costa Rica's Preparedness to Float; TABLE; 1. Extent of Preparedness for Transitioning to Greater Flexibility: Before the Full Float; FIGURE; 1. Historical Experiences with Transitions to Exchange Rate Flexibility; References; VII. FINANCIAL SECTOR ISSUES.
  • A. Strengthening Bank Capital and Liquidity in Central America: The Road to Basel IIIB. Balance Sheet Analysis; FIGURE; 1. Gross Financial Assets and Liabilities of Economic Sectors; TABLES; 1. External and Foreign Currency Positions; 2. Net Foreign Currency Debt Position and Exchange Rate Shocks; ANNEXES; I. Net Intersectoral Asset and Liability Positions; II. Bank Heat Maps; References.