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Global economic prospects, January 2015 : having fiscal space and using it.

As in previous years, global growth disappointed in 2014, but a lackluster recovery is underway, with increasingly divergent prospects in major economies and developing countries. Looking ahead, growth is expected to rise slowly, supported by continued recovery in highincome countries, low oil price...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, DC : World Bank Publications, [2015]
Colección:Global Economic Prospects.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 0 0 |a Global economic prospects, January 2015 :  |b having fiscal space and using it. 
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264 4 |c ©2015 
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490 1 |a Global Economic Prospects ;  |v v. 10 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references. 
520 |a As in previous years, global growth disappointed in 2014, but a lackluster recovery is underway, with increasingly divergent prospects in major economies and developing countries. Looking ahead, growth is expected to rise slowly, supported by continued recovery in highincome countries, low oil prices, and receding domestic headwinds in developing economies. However, continued weak global trade growth and gradually tightening financial conditions will constrain the recovery. Risks to the outlook remain tilted to the downside. In addition to discussing global and regional economic developments and prospects, this edition of Global Economic Prospects includes four essays that analyze key challenges and opportunities currently confronting developing countries: fiscal policy as a countercyclical policy tool; causes and implications of cheap oil; weak trade that fails to act as an engine of growth; and remittances as a means of steadying consumption during sudden stops. Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report. On a semiannual basis (January and June), it examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on developing countries. The report includes analysis of topical policy challenges faced by developing countries through in-depth research in the January edition and shorter analytical pieces in the June edition. 
588 0 |a Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed February 9, 2015). 
505 0 |a Cover -- Table of Contents -- Acronyms -- Acknowledgments -- Foreword -- Executive Summary -- Chapter 1 Global Outlook: Disappointments, Divergences, and Expectations -- Summary and Key Messages -- Recent Developments and Outlook in Major Economies -- Global Trends and Spillovers -- Easy but Gradually Tightening Financial Conditions -- Soft Commodity Prices -- Weak Global Trade -- Recent Developments and Outlook in Developing Countries -- Recent Developments -- Outlook -- Regional Prospects -- Risks -- Financial Market Stress 
505 8 |a Stagnation in the Euro Area and JapanDisorderly Slowdown in China -- Weak Potential Growth in Developing Economies -- Geopolitical Tensions -- Ebola Epidemic -- Policy Challenges -- Major Economies -- Developing Countries -- Special Focus: Low-Income Countries: Graduation, Recent Developments, and Prospects -- Chapter 2 Regional Outlooks -- East Asia and Pacific -- Europe and Central Asia -- Latin America and the Caribbean -- Middle East and North Africa -- South Asia -- Sub-Saharan Africa 
505 8 |a Chapter 3 Having Space and Using It: Fiscal Policy Challenges in Developing EconomiesIntroduction -- How Has Fiscal Space Evolved? -- Definition of Fiscal Space -- Evolution of Space during the 2000s -- Space and Policy during Contractions -- Have Developing Economies Graduated from Procyclicality? -- Does Greater Space Tend to Support More Effective Fiscal Outcomes? -- Institutional Arrangements: How Can Fiscal Space Be Strengthened? -- Fiscal Rules -- Stabilization Funds -- Medium-Term Expenditure Frameworks (MTEF) -- Risks and Medium-Term Objectives 
505 8 |a ConclusionsAnnex 3A: Technical Information -- Annex 3B: Statistical Information -- Chapter 4 Three Topical Issues: Oil Price Developments, Global Trade Slowdown, and Stability of Remittances -- Introduction -- Understanding the Plunge in Oil Prices: Sources and Implications -- How does the recent decline in oil prices compare with previous episodes? -- What are the causes of the sharp drop? -- What are the macroeconomic and financial implications? -- What are the main policy implications? -- Conclusion -- What lies behind the global trade slowdown? 
505 8 |a A cyclical factor: Weak demandA structural factor: Changing relationship between trade and income -- What explains the lower elasticity of trade? -- Conclusion -- Can Remittances Help Promote Consumption Stability? -- Magnitude, Drivers and Cyclical Features -- Behavior of Remittances during Sudden Stops -- Promoting Consumption Stability -- Conclusion -- Statistical Appendix -- Boxes -- 1.1 What does weak growth mean for poverty in the future? -- 1.2 Countercyclical monetary policy in emerging markets: Review and evidence 
546 |a English. 
590 |a ProQuest Ebook Central  |b Ebook Central Academic Complete 
650 0 |a Economic forecasting. 
650 0 |a Economic history  |y 1990- 
650 0 |a International economic relations. 
650 6 |a Prévision économique. 
650 6 |a Histoire économique  |y 1990- 
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648 7 |a Since 1990  |2 fast 
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