Cargando…
Climate Change : Identification and Projections.
Under certain scenarios on the subject of CO2 emissions, by the end of the century the atmospheric concentration could triple its pre-industrial level. The very large numerical models intended to anticipate the corresponding climate evolutions are designed and quantified from the laws of physics. Ho...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Hoboken :
Wiley,
2014.
|
| Colección: | Focus series.
|
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Contents; 1: Introduction; 1.1. Context; 1.2. Identification; 1.3. Expectations and results; 1.4. Contents of the work; 2: Climatic Data; 2.1. Sources; 2.2. Global temperature; 2.2.1. Modern temperatures; 2.2.2. Pre-industrial temperature; 2.2.3. Paleotemperatures; 2.3. Concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere; 2.4. Solar activity; 2.5. Volcanic activity; 3: The War of the Graphs; 3.1. History; 3.2. Inconsistent controversies; 3.3. Usable data; 4: Formulating an Energy Balance Model; 4.1. State models and transmittance; 4.2. Structure of an energy balance model.
- 7.1. A selection of data7.2. Free identification; 7.3. Forced identifications; 7.4. Statistical analysis; 8: Overall Results; 8.1. Preliminary comments; 8.2. Regions and intervals of confidence; 8.3. Hypothesis test; 8.4. Comments; 9: Historic Minuscule Simulations; 9.1. Overview of IPCC simulations; 9.2. Comparative simulations; 9.3. Representative concentration pathways (RCPs); 9.4. Comparative radiative forcing; 10: Long-term Climate Projections; 10.1. IPCC scenarios and projections; 10.2. EBM compatible scenarios; 10.3. Long-term projections; 10.4. A disaster scenario.
- 11: Short-term Predictions11.1. Decadal time scale predictions by GCM; 11.2. The climate's natural variability; 11.3. State estimate and prediction; 11.4. Decadal time scale predictions by EBM; 11.5. A posteriori predictions; 12: Conclusions; 12.1. On the identification; 12.2. Climate sensitivity; 12.3. Solar activity; 12.4. Predictive capacity; 12.5. The climate change in question; 12.6. Prospects; Bibliography; Index.