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Global Business Cycles.

This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroe...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Kose, M. Ayhan
Otros Autores: Prasad, Eswar, Otrok, Christopher
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington : International Monetary Fund, 2008.
Colección:IMF Working Papers.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Global Business Cycles. 
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505 0 |a I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Data; A.A Dynamic Factor Model; B. Advantages of Dynamic Factor Models; C. Variance Decompositions; D. Data; III. Dynamic Factors and Episodes of Business Cycles; A. Evolution of the Global and Group-Specific Factors; B. Country Factors and Domestic Economic Activity; IV. Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations: 1960-2005; A. Common Cycles: Global and Country-Specific Factors; B. National Cycles: Country and Idiosyncratic Factors; C. Summary; V. Globalization and the Evolution of International Business Cycles; A. Convergence or Decoupling? 
505 8 |a B. Consumption ComovementC. Dynamics of Investment; D. Summary; VI. Sensitivity Experiments; A. Results for Sub-groups of Countries; B. Changes in the Importance of Global and Group Factors; C. Implications of Crises; D. Alternative Breakpoints; VII. Conclusion; References; Appendices; I.A Bayesian Approach to Estimating Dynamic Factor Models; II. Testing for Structural Breaks; III. List of Countries; Tables; 1. Variance Decompositions-All Groups; 2. Variance Decompositions-Industrial Country Subsamples; 3. Variance Decompositions-All Groups. 
505 8 |a 4. Variance Decompositions-Industrial Country Subsamples5. Variance Decompositions-Emerging Economy Subsamples; 6. Variance Decompositions-Other Developing Economy Subsamples; Figures; 1. Global and Group-Specific Factors; 2. Output Growth and Estimated Factors for Selected Countries; 3. Average Variance Explained by the Global and Group Factors; 4. Average Variance Explained by Global and Group Factors; 5. Average Variance Explained by Global Factor; 6. Average Variance Explained by Group Specific Factors; 7. Average Variance Explained by Global and Group-Specific Factors-All Countries. 
500 |a 8. Output Variance Explained by Global Factor9. Output Variance Explained by Group Factor. 
520 |a This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups-industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in key macroeconomic aggregates-output, consumption, and investment-into different factors. These are: (i) a global factor, which picks up fluctuations that are common across all variables and countries; (ii) three group-specific factors, which capture fluctuations that are comm. 
590 |a ProQuest Ebook Central  |b Ebook Central Academic Complete 
650 0 |a Business cycles  |x Econometric models. 
650 0 |a Globalization. 
650 6 |a Cycles économiques  |x Modèles économétriques. 
650 6 |a Mondialisation. 
650 7 |a globalism.  |2 aat 
650 7 |a Business cycles  |x Econometric models  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Globalization  |2 fast 
700 1 |a Prasad, Eswar. 
700 1 |a Otrok, Christopher. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Kose, M. Ayhan.  |t Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?  |d Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2008  |z 9781451870015 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers. 
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