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Inflation in Tajikistan.

This paper attempts to explain short- and long-term dynamics of-and forecast-inflation in Tajikistan using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA). By analyzing different transmission channels through the VECM, we were able to evaluate their relative d...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Vtyurina, Svetlana
Otros Autores: Alturki, Fahad
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Colección:IMF Working Papers.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Inflation in Tajikistan. 
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505 0 |a I. Introduction; II. Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in Tajikistan; Exhibits and Figures; Exhibit; 1. Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Tajikistan; Figures; 1. NBT Refinancing Rate and Bank Lending Rates, 2001-08; 2. Money Growth and Inflation, 2001-08; III. Empirical Investigation; Tables; 1. Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Tests; 2. Johansen Co-Integration Tests; 3. Model Restriction and Weak Exogeneity Tests; 3. Tajikistan: Overall Inflation 2001Q1-2010Q4; 4. Tajikistan: Overall Inflation 2001Q4-2010Q4; 5. Tajikistan: Overall Inflation, 1999-2009. 
505 8 |a 4. Main Statistics of Various ARMA Models, 1999-20096. Tajikistan: Inflation Forecast Based on BARMA (2,2) Model, Dec. 2007-June 2009; 7. Tajikistan: Inflation Forecast Based on ARMA (2,2) Model, Dec. 2008-Dec. 2010; IV. Summary and Considerations; References. 
520 |a This paper attempts to explain short- and long-term dynamics of-and forecast-inflation in Tajikistan using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA). By analyzing different transmission channels through the VECM, we were able to evaluate their relative dominance, magnitude, and speed of transition to the equilibrium price level, with the view of identifying those policy tools that will enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy. We found that excess supply of broad money is inflationary in both the short and long term. The dynamic analysis also d. 
590 |a ProQuest Ebook Central  |b Ebook Central Academic Complete 
650 0 |a Inflation (Finance)  |z Tajikistan. 
650 0 |a Monetary policy  |z Tajikistan. 
650 6 |a Inflation  |z Tadjikistan. 
650 6 |a Politique monétaire  |z Tadjikistan. 
650 7 |a Inflation (Finance)  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Monetary policy  |2 fast 
651 7 |a Tajikistan  |2 fast  |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PBJcgvK4gxmcJrpyXCPxdQq 
700 1 |a Alturki, Fahad. 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Vtyurina, Svetlana.  |t Inflation in Tajikistan: Forecasting Analysis and Monetary Policy Challenges.  |d Washington : International Monetary Fund, ©2010  |z 9781451962178 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers. 
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