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Inflation in Tajikistan.

This paper attempts to explain short- and long-term dynamics of-and forecast-inflation in Tajikistan using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA). By analyzing different transmission channels through the VECM, we were able to evaluate their relative d...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Vtyurina, Svetlana
Otros Autores: Alturki, Fahad
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Colección:IMF Working Papers.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Descripción
Sumario:This paper attempts to explain short- and long-term dynamics of-and forecast-inflation in Tajikistan using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Autoregressive Moving Average Model (ARMA). By analyzing different transmission channels through the VECM, we were able to evaluate their relative dominance, magnitude, and speed of transition to the equilibrium price level, with the view of identifying those policy tools that will enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy. We found that excess supply of broad money is inflationary in both the short and long term. The dynamic analysis also d.
Descripción Física:1 online resource (21 pages)
ISBN:9781452720791
1452720797