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Investing with the Trend : a Rules-based Approach to Money Management.

With the Trend provides an abundance of evidence for adapting a rules-based approach to investing by offering something most avoid, and that is to answer the "why" one would do it this way. It explains the need to try to participate in the good markets and avoid the bad markets, with cash...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Morris, Gregory L., 1948-
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Wiley, 2013.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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505 0 |a Investing with the Trend: A Rules-Based Approach to Money Management; Copyright; Contents; Foreword; Preface; Acknowledgments; Chapter 1: Introduction; Believable Misinformation; Indicators and Terminology You Should Be Familiar with; Living in the Noise; Data; Part I: Market Fiction, Flaws, and Facts; Chapter 2: Fictions Told to Investors; Believable Misinformation in Investing; The Void of Accountability; Hiding behind Statistics; You Must Remain Invested or You Will Miss the 10 Best Days of the Year; Diversification Will Protect You?; Dollar Cost Averaging. 
505 8 |a Compounding Is the Eighth Wonder of the WorldRelative Performance; Chapter 3: Flaws in Modern Financial Theory; What Modern Portfolio Theory Forgot or Ignored; Modern Portfolio Theory and the Bell Curve; Black Monday, October 19, 1987; Tails Wagging the Dog; Standard Deviation (Sigma) and Its Shortcomings; Improper Process; High Sigma Days We All Remember; Black Monday, October 28 and Black Tuesday, October 29, 1929; Black Monday, October 19, 1987; 1885-2012; Rolling Returns and Gaussian Statistics; Risk and Uncertainty; Back to the Original Question: Is Volatility Risk? 
505 8 |a Is Linear Analysis Good Enough?Linear Regression Must Have Correlation; The 60/40 Myth Exposed; Discounted Cash Flow Model; Chapter 4: Misuse of Statistics and Other Controversial Practices; The Deception of Average; One If by Land, Two If by Sea; Everything on Four Legs Is a Pig; Chapter 5: The Illusion of Forecasting; The Reign of Error; An Investment Professional's Dilemma; Gurus/Experts; Masking an Intellectual Void; Earnings Season; Are Financial Advisors Worth 1 Percent of AUM (Assets under Management)?; Economists Are Good at Predicting the Market; News Is Noise. 
505 8 |a Chapter 6: The Enemy in the MirrorReal Time versus History; Behavioral Investing; Behavioral Biases; Ambiguity Aversion; Anchoring; Availability; Calendar Effects; Cognitive Dissonance; Communal Reinforcement; Confirmation Bias; Disposition Effect; Endowment Effect; Halo Effect; Herding; Hindsight Bias; Loss Aversion/Risk Aversion; Overconfidence; Overreaction; Prospect Theory; Recency; Representativeness; Selective Thinking; Self-Attribution; Self-Deception; Status Quo Bias; Underreaction; Bias Tracks for Investors; Investor Emotions; Investors as a Whole Do Poorly. 
505 8 |a Chapter 7: Market Facts: Bull and Bear MarketsCalendar versus Market Math; Stock Exchange Holidays; Understanding the Past; Bull Markets; Bear Markets; Just How Bad Can a Bear Market Be?; Bear Markets and Withdrawals; Market Volatility; Highly Volatile Periods; Dispersion of Prices; Secular Markets; Secular Bull Markets; Secular Bull Markets since 1900; Secular Bull Data; Secular Bull Market Composite; Secular Bear Markets; Secular Bear Markets since 1900; Secular Bear Data; Secular Bear Market Composite; The Last Secular Bear Market (1966-1982). 
520 |a With the Trend provides an abundance of evidence for adapting a rules-based approach to investing by offering something most avoid, and that is to answer the "why" one would do it this way. It explains the need to try to participate in the good markets and avoid the bad markets, with cash being considered an asset class. The book is in three primary sections and tries to leave no stone unturned in offering almost 40 years of experience in the markets. Part I ' The focus is on much of the misinformation in modern finance, the inappropriate use of Gaussian statistics, the faulty assumptions with Modern Portfolio Theory, and a host of other examples. The author attempts to explain each and offer justification for his often strong opinions. Part II ' After a lead chapter on the merits of technical analysis, the author offers detailed research into trend analysis, showing how to identify if a market is trending or not and how to measure it. Further research involves the concept of Drawdown, which the author adamantly states is a better measure of investor risk than the oft used and terribly wrong use of volatility as determined by standard deviation. Part III ' This is where he puts it all together and shows the reader all of the steps and details on how to create a rules-based trend following investment strategy. A solid disciplined strategy consists of three parts, a measure of what the market is actually doing, a set of rules and guidelines to tell you how to invest based upon that measurement, and the discipline to follow the strateg 
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