Cargando…

Taking Chances : Winning with Probability.

What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Haigh, John
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Oxford : OUP Oxford, 2003.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

LEADER 00000cam a2200000Mi 4500
001 EBOOKCENTRAL_ocn818851552
003 OCoLC
005 20240329122006.0
006 m o d
007 cr unu||||||||
008 121120s2003 enk o 000 0 eng d
040 |a EBLCP  |b eng  |e pn  |c EBLCP  |d OCLCQ  |d DEBSZ  |d OCLCQ  |d OCLCO  |d OCLCF  |d OCLCO  |d OCLCQ  |d OCLCO  |d MERUC  |d OCLCQ  |d ZCU  |d ICG  |d OCLCQ  |d DKC  |d OCLCQ  |d OCLCO  |d OCLCQ  |d OCLCO  |d OCLCL 
020 |a 9780191500558 
020 |a 0191500550 
020 |a 9780191594106 
020 |a 0191594105 
029 1 |a DEBBG  |b BV044170932 
029 1 |a DEBSZ  |b 37933092X 
029 1 |a DEBSZ  |b 445994274 
035 |a (OCoLC)818851552 
050 4 |a QA273.15 .H35 2003 
082 0 4 |a 519.2 
049 |a UAMI 
100 1 |a Haigh, John. 
245 1 0 |a Taking Chances :  |b Winning with Probability. 
260 |a Oxford :  |b OUP Oxford,  |c 2003. 
300 |a 1 online resource (622 pages) 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a computer  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a online resource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
505 0 |a Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Dedication; Preface; Perface to the Second Edition; Contents; 1 What is probability?; Think straight; The inviolable rule; Some working methods; Long runs; Averages and variability; 2 Lotteries; Your chance of winning; A winning strategy?; More than one ticket?; Other lotteries; Are the numbers drawn really random?; Summary; Postscript; 3 Football Pools, Premium Bonds; Football Pools; Premium Bonds; The best gamble?; 4 One coin, many games; How's your intuition?; Game on; Penney-ante; How long are you in the lead?; Postscript; Summary. 
505 8 |a Test yourself quiz5 Dice; One die; Two dice-backgammon; Two dice-Monopoly; Two dice-craps; Threeor more dice-totals; Fourdice-Chevalier de Méré's problem; Bettering an opponent; Fairground games; 6 Games with few choices; The dating game; An easier game; A fisherman's tale; Back to Table 6.2; A fair game?; Finding the best strategies; Other games; Two choices for Roy, many for Colin; Counter signals; Games animals play; The battle of the sexes; Postscript; Summary; Test yourself quiz; 7 Waiting, waiting, waiting; Firthdays; The Spoilers(2); Other matches; More than one match? 
505 8 |a Facks of cards (1)lacks of cards (2); Card/coupon collecting; The secretary problem; 8 Let's play best of three; Suooker-type games; Darts; Squash-type games; Anyone for tennis?; Summary; 9 TV games; Find the lady; The Showcase showdown; Who wants to be a millionaire?; Shafted; The Weakest Link; Blockbusters; Postscript; 10 Casino games; Roulette; Casino stud poker; Baccarat chemin de fer; Other casino games; Test yourself quiz; 11 Bookies, the Tote, spread betting; Bookmakers; Can you win from the bookies?; The Tote; Spread betting; 12 This sporting life; Soccer; Golf; Cricket; Tennis. 
505 8 |a Tournament formats13 Lucky for some-miscellanea; Cards-whist, bridge; Shuffling; Dividing the prize; Vowel or consonant?; Benford's law; Guess the other colour; At least two Aces?; Which player is favoured?; The birthday gift; Two paradoxes; 14 Probability for lawyers; Conditional probability; Hayes' Theorem; Two fallacies; Other matters; Test yourself quiz; Appendix I. Counting; Appendix II. Probability; Appendix III. Averages and variability; Appendix V. The Kelly strategy; Index. 
520 |a What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies inthe field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pool. 
588 0 |a Print version record. 
590 |a ProQuest Ebook Central  |b Ebook Central Academic Complete 
650 0 |a Probabilities  |v Popular works. 
650 6 |a Probabilités  |v Ouvrages de vulgarisation. 
650 7 |a Probabilities  |2 fast 
655 7 |a Popular works  |2 fast 
758 |i has work:  |a Taking chances (Text)  |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGvrH3wKCVrp9HMV9fTgyq  |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Haigh, John.  |t Taking Chances : Winning with Probability.  |d Oxford : OUP Oxford, ©2003  |z 9780198526636 
856 4 0 |u https://ebookcentral.uam.elogim.com/lib/uam-ebooks/detail.action?docID=1073512  |z Texto completo 
938 |a EBL - Ebook Library  |b EBLB  |n EBL1073512 
994 |a 92  |b IZTAP