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Real Effects of the Subprime Mortgage Crisis : Is it a Demand or a Finance Shock? /

We develop a methodology to study how the subprime crisis spills over to the real economy. Does it manifest itself primarily through reducing consumer demand or through tightening liquidity constraint on non-financial firms? Since most non-financial firms have much larger cash holding than before, t...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Tong, Hui
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund
Otros Autores: Wei, Shang-Jin
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008.
Colección:IMF Working Papers.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Real Effects of the Subprime Mortgage Crisis :  |b Is it a Demand or a Finance Shock? /  |c Tong, Hui. 
260 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2008. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 |a We develop a methodology to study how the subprime crisis spills over to the real economy. Does it manifest itself primarily through reducing consumer demand or through tightening liquidity constraint on non-financial firms? Since most non-financial firms have much larger cash holding than before, they appear unlikely to face significant liquidity constraint. We propose a methodology to estimate these two channels of spillovers. We first propose an index of a firm's sensitivity to consumer demand, based on its response to the 9/11 shock in 2001. We then construct a separate firm-level index on financial constraint based on Whited and Wu (2006). We find that both channels are at work, but a tightened liquidity squeeze is economically more important than a reduced consumer spending in explaining cross firm differences in stock price declines. 
505 0 |a I. Introduction; II. Specification and Key Variables; A. Basic Specification; B. Key Data; III. Empirical Analysis; A. Basic Results; B. Evolving Roles of Liquidity Constraint and Demand Contractions; C. Alternative Measure of Financial Dependence; D. Placebo Tests; E. Exposures to Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Movement; F. Additional Robustness Checks and Extensions; IV. Conclusion; References; Tables; 1a. Summary Statistics; 1b. Correlation Among Variables; 2. Change in Stock Price during the Subprime Crisis; 3. Alternative Measure of Financial Dependence. 
505 8 |a 4. Does Liquidity Constraint Explain Changes in Stock Prices During September 10-28, 2001?5. Placebo Tests: Stock Price Changes Before the Subprime Crises; 6. Adding Exposures to Exchange Rate and Commodity Price Movement; Figures; 1. The Log of Stock Index during Subprime Crisis; 2. News Count of "Subprime" and "Crisis"; 3. Consensus Forecast of U.S. Real GDP Growth; 4. Consumer Confidence around Sept. 11th and Subprime Crisis; 5. TED (Euro-dollar bond over Treasury Bond) spread around September 11th and Subprime Crisis; 6. Cumulative Stock Returns Since August 2007. 
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700 1 |a Wei, Shang-Jin. 
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