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Judgment, Decision Making and Risk.
Behavioral decision research offers a distinctive approach to understanding and improving decision making. It combines theory and method from multiple disciples (psychology, economics, statistics, decision theory, management science). It employs both empirical methods, to study how decisions are act...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Hoboken :
Taylor & Francis,
2011.
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| Colección: | Earthscan risk in society series.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; Judgment and Decision Making; Copyright; Contents; Figures; Tables; Tabii; Acknowledgments; On the Cover; Introduction; Part I : Background; 1. Judgment and decision making; 2. Tversky, Amos (1937-96); Part II : Hindsight bias; 3. Hindsight = Foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty; 4. For those Condemned to Study the Past: Reflections on historical judgment; 5. An early history of hindsight research; Part III : Judgment; 6. Hypothesis evaluation from a Bayesian perspective; 7. Knowing with certainty: The appropriateness of extreme confidence.
- 8. Fault Trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation 9. Assessing uncertainty in physical constants; 10. Fifty-fifty = 50%?; Part IV : Evaluation; 11. Predicting Frames; 12. Value Elicitation: is there anything in there?; 13. Informed Consent for Eliciting Environmental Values; Part V : Deciding; 14. Giving Advice: Decision theory perspectives on sexual assault; 15. The Real World: What good is it?; 16. Assessing adolescent decision-making competence; 17. Questions of Competence: The duty to inform and the limits to choice; Conclusion; Index.