What determines government spending multipliers? /
This paper studies how the effects of government spending vary with the economic environment. Using a panel of OECD countries, we identify fiscal shocks as residuals from an estimated spending rule and trace their macroeconomic impact under different conditions regarding the exchange rate regime, pu...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Autores principales: | , , |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
[Washington, D.C.] :
International Monetary Fund,
©2012.
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Colección: | IMF working paper ;
WP/12/150. |
Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; 1 Introduction; 2 Fiscal policy in different economic environments; 2.1 A theoretical benchmark; 2.2 Pegged exchange rates; 2.3 Weak public finances; 2.4 Financial crises; 3 Empirical strategy; 3.1 Identification issues; 3.2 The first step: Identifying government spending shocks; 3.3 The second step: Tracing the effects of government spending in different economic environments; 3.4 The data; 4 Systematic and non-systematic changes in government spending; 5 The effects of government spending shocks; 5.1 Unconditional effects; 5.2 Accounting for the economic environment.
- 5.3 Sensitivity analysis6 Conclusion; References; Tables; Table 1. Composition of Initial and Final Samples; Table 2. Data Sources and Definitions; Table 3. Results of First-Step Regression; Table 4. Summary Statistics for Estimated Government Spending Shocks; Table 5. Overview of Dummy Characteristics; Figure 5: Results for narrow definition of financial crisis; Figure 6: Results for alternative definition of weak public finances (government debt> 120 percent of GDP and/or lagged net borrowing> 7 percent of GDP); Figure 7: Results for difference specification.
- Figure 8: Results for first-step specification which includes contemporaneous value of crisis dummyFigure 9: Results without CLI in first step; Figure 10: Results for sample without 2007-2008; Figure 11: Results for sample without United States.