Cargando…
Using social media to gauge Iranian public opinion and mood after the 2009 election /
In the months after the contested Iranian presidential election in June 2009, Iranians used Twitter--a social media service that allows users to send short text messages, called tweets, with relative anonymity--to speak out about the election and the protests and other events that followed it. The a...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor Corporativo: | |
| Otros Autores: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND,
2012.
|
| Colección: | Technical report (Rand Corporation)
|
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Introduction
- Methodology
- Background on social media use in Iran and events surrounding the 2009 election
- Overall trends in public mood in Iran after the 2009 presidential election
- Iranian public opinion about specific topics in the aftermath of the 2009 election
- Methodological considerations
- Next steps: a design for a second phase of the this program of research
- Appendix: Additional details regarding methodology: data collection and analysis.
- Preface
- Figures and Table
- Summary
- Acknowledgments
- Abbreviations
- Introduction
- Analysis of Social Media Can Help Gauge Public Opinion and Mood in Closed Societies
- A New Computer-Based Tool Offers a Promising Means of Tapping into Politically Oriented Content in Social Media
- This Type of Analysis Can Have Important Policy Uses
- Organization of This Report
- Methodology
- The Precedent for Our Approach: Previous Research Using LIWC and Word-Usage Analysis
- LIWC Has Been Shown to Accurately Represent Verbal Expression
- The Real Potential of Exploring Word Usage Lies in Its Links with Behaviors and Outcomes
- Word Usage Is Now Being Studied in Politically Oriented Contexts
- Our Research Process
- Planning Tasks: Understanding the Sphere of Relevant Social Media
- Selecting Twitter Texts
- Selecting Iran-Relevant Political Topics
- Selecting the LIWC Word Categories to Use in Our Analysis and Defining How We Would Interpret Them
- Background on Social Media Use in Iran and Events Surrounding the 2009 Election
- Social Media Use in Contemporary Iran
- The Scale of Internet and Social Media Usage in Contemporary Iran
- Who Is Using Social Media in Iran?
- The Anonymity Factor
- The Iranian Information Environment Prior to the 2009 Presidential Election
- The Use of Social Media During the 2009 Presidential Election in Iran
- The Role of Social Media in Iran's Internal Politics Grew Rapidly After the 2009 Presidential Election
- Major Events in Iran During the Post-Election Period
- The Rise of Mass Protests
- June 19: Khamenei's Friday Prayer Speech
- June 20: Neda Agha-Soltan's Death
- July 9: Anniversary of the 1999 Student Uprisings
- August 5: Ahmadinejad's Inauguration
- September 18: Quds Day
- Late December: Ashura Day Protests
- February 11, 2010: 31st Anniversary of the Islamic Revolution
- Overall Trends in Public Mood in Iran After the 2009 Presidential Election
- Public Mood Throughout the Nine Months After the Election
- Twitter's Clearest Indicator of Mood and Forecaster of Action: Swear Words
- Use of Pronouns on Twitter After the Election
- Summary
- Iranian Public Opinion About Specific Topics in the Aftermath of the 2009 Election
- Public Opinion Leading Domestic Political Figures: Ahmadinejad, Khamenei, Mousavi, and Karroubi
- Summary
- Background
- Comparing Trends in Public Opinion About Political Figures
- Around the Quds Day Protest, Twitter Users Wrote More Negatively About Khamenei Than About Ahmadinejad
- At Certain Points, Twitter Users Wrote More Positively and Less Negatively About Karroubi Than About Mousavi
- Initially, Twitter Users Swore More About Ahmadinejad Than About Mousavi, but the Opposite Became True
- Policy Implications
- Pro-Government and Opposition Groups: The Green Movement, the Revolutionary Guards, and the Basij
- Summary
- Background
- Comparing Trends in Public Opinion About Political Groups
- The Green Movement Was Viewed More Positively Than the Revolutionary Guards or Basij
- Twitter Users Swore More About the Basij Than About the Revolutionary Guards
- Public Opinion About the United States, President Obama, and the CIA
- Summary
- Usage of Swear Words Suggests Early Frustration with the United States and President Obama, as Well as a Strong Desire for U.S. Action
- Usage of First-Person Singular Pronouns Regarding the United States and President Obama Generally Paralleled Usage of Swear Words
- Pronoun Use When Writing About Obama as Compared with Iranian Figures
- Twitter Users Expressed Less Negative Emotion When Writing About Obama as Compared with Iranian Figures
- Positive Emotions in Tweets About Obama Showed Several Pronounced Spikes Compared with Tweets About the United States
- Some Twitter Users Pointed to Foreign Influence, Particularly Intelligence Agencies, as the Driving Force Behind Protests
- Public Opinion About Specific Countries: Israel, the United States, and Iran
- Summary
- Twitter Users Only Infrequently Swore Regarding Israel or the United States
- Twitter Users Swore More When Referring to the "Islamic Republic" Than to "Iran"
- Twitter Users Expressed Positive Emotions Toward Israelis Who May Have Aided the Protest Movement
- Methodological Considerations
- Additional Demonstration of the Methodology: Sadness Words
- Linguistic Indicators That Did Not Work as Expected on Twitter
- Differences in Phrasing May Reflect Differing Intentions and Writing Styles
- Limitations of Automated Analysis Suggest That It Is a Complementary Approach to Manual Analysis
- Next Steps: A Design for a Second Phase of This Program of Research
- Looking Ahead Toward the 2013 Iranian Presidential Elections
- Validating the Methodology
- Improving Current Aspects of the Methodology
- Expanding the Scope of the Current Work
- Additional Details Regarding Methodology: Data Collection and Analysis
- References.