Global volatility and forex returns in East Asia /

During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall "flight to safety" effect. Estimates from GARCH models suggest that a 5 percentage point increase in mature market equity volatility gen...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Kalra, Sanjay (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2008.
©2008
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/08/208.
Temas:
Foreign exchange rates > East Asia.
Financial crises > East Asia.
Taux de change > Extrême-Orient.
Crises financières > Extrême-Orient.
Financial crises
Foreign exchange rates
Devisenmarkt.
Devisenhandel.
Volatilität.
ARCH-Modell.
Ostasien.
East Asia
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Data; III. GARCH Models of East Asian Daily Forex Returns; IV. Empirical Results; A. Sensitivity of Forex Returns to Mature Equity Market Volatility; B. Conditional and Unconditional Volatility of Forex Returns:; C. Subsamples; V. Robustness; VI. Conclusions; Figures; 1. VIX and VDAX Indices; 2. Exchange Rates; 3. Daily Forex Returns; 4. Daily Squared Forex Returns; 5. FIX_AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models: Residuals; 6. VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models: Squared Residuals; 7. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: 2001-07
  • 8. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2001-03Q29. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2003Q3-07; 10. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2001-07; Tables; 1. Daily Foreign Exchange Return: Summary Statistics; 2. VIX and VDAX Indices: Summary Statistics; 3. Exchange Rates and Volatility Indices: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Statistics; 4. VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria; 5. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-07; 6. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-03Q2
  • 7. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2003Q3-078. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-07; 9. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-03Q2; 10. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2003Q3-0; References

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