Crashes, crises, and calamities : how we can use science to read the early-warning signs /

Drawing on ecology and biology, math and physics, the author offers four fundamental tools that scientists and engineers use to forecast the likelihood of sudden change: stability, catastrophe, complexity, and game theories.

Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Fisher, Len
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: New York : Basic Books, ©2011.
Temas:
Accidents > Prevention.
Natural disasters > Forecasting.
Science > History.
Science > Social aspects.
Scientists.
Accident Prevention
Accidents > Prévention.
Catastrophes naturelles > Prévision.
Sciences > Histoire.
Sciences > Aspect social.
SCIENCE > General.
NATURE > Natural Disasters.
SOCIAL SCIENCE > Disasters & Disaster Relief.
Accidents > Prevention
Natural disasters > Forecasting
Science
Science > Social aspects
Scientists
Electronic book.
History
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • pt. 1. A potted pre-history of prognostication. Do animals have crystal balls?
  • The future eclipsed
  • Galileo's hell
  • pt. 2. How disasters happen. The stress of it all
  • Runaway disaster
  • The balance of nature and the nature of balance
  • pt. 3. Imminent catastrophes : reading the signs. The chaotic ecology of dragons
  • Teetering on the brink of catastrophe
  • Models and supermodels
  • Beware of mathematicians
  • Weak signals as major early-warning signs
  • Summary : The future of forecasting.

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