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Common factors in Latin America's business cycles /

This paper constructs new business cycle indices for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico based on common dynamic factors extracted from a comprehensive set of sectoral output, external data, and fiscal and financial variables spanning over a century. The constructed indices are used to derive a bus...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores principales: Aiolfi, Marco (Autor), Catão, Luis (Autor), Timmermann, Allan (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Research Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept., ©2006.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/06/49.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Descripción
Sumario:This paper constructs new business cycle indices for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico based on common dynamic factors extracted from a comprehensive set of sectoral output, external data, and fiscal and financial variables spanning over a century. The constructed indices are used to derive a business cycle chronology for these countries and characterize a set of new stylized facts. In particular, we show that all four countries have historically displayed a striking combination of high business cycle and persistence relative to benchmark countries, and that such volatility has been time-varying, with important differences across policy regimes. We also uncover a sizeable common factor across the four economies which has greatly limited scope for regional risk sharing.
Descripción Física:1 online resource (62 pages) : illustrations
Bibliografía:Includes bibliographical references.
ISBN:1282448021
9781282448025