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Output drops and the shocks that matter /

Output drops are usually associated with major disruption for the residents of affected countries, both directly and often through ensuing, prolonged growth slowdowns. Using a century of data, we document that output drops are more frequent in countries at a lower stage of economic development. We t...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores principales: Becker, Torbjörn (Autor), Mauro, Paolo (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Research Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept., ©2006.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/06/172.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Output drops and the shocks that matter /  |c prepared by TorbjörnBecker and Paolo Mauro. 
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520 |a Output drops are usually associated with major disruption for the residents of affected countries, both directly and often through ensuing, prolonged growth slowdowns. Using a century of data, we document that output drops are more frequent in countries at a lower stage of economic development. We then turn to a more in-depth analysis of the post-1970 era, examining output drops in a large panel of countries, and systematically relating them to a variety of shocks. We compute the expected cost of each type of shock as a function of the shock's frequency, the likelihood that the shock will be associated with a drop in output, and the size of the output drop. The largest costs are associated with external financial shocks (notably, sudden stops in financial flows) for emerging markets, and with real external shocks (in particular, terms-of-trade shocks) for developing countries. 
506 |3 Use copy  |f Restrictions unspecified  |2 star  |5 MiAaHDL 
533 |a Electronic reproduction.  |b [Place of publication not identified] :  |c HathiTrust Digital Library,  |d 2010.  |5 MiAaHDL 
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505 0 |a Contents -- I. MOTIVATION AND RELATED STUDIES -- II. OUTPUT DROPS -- III. SHOCKS -- IV. MULTIVARIATE PROBIT ANALYSIS -- V. ROBUSTNESS AND EXTENSIONS -- VI. CONCLUSIONS -- APPENDIX TABLES AND FIGURES -- APPENDIX I. HODRICK-PRESCOTT-FILTER BASED DEFINITION OF EVENTS -- APPENDIX II. KERNEL DENSITY PLOTS: OUTPUT DROPS AND 1970 PER CAPITA GDP -- APPENDIX III. DATA SOURCES AND DEFINITIONS -- REFERENCES 
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650 0 |a Economic development. 
650 0 |a Input-output analysis. 
650 6 |a Développement économique. 
650 6 |a Analyse input-output. 
650 7 |a economic development.  |2 aat 
650 7 |a Economic development  |2 fast 
650 7 |a Input-output analysis  |2 fast 
700 1 |a Mauro, Paolo,  |e author. 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b Research Department. 
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