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Is the Canadian housing market overvalued? : a post-crisis assessment /

Canadian house prices have increased significantly between 2003 and early 2008, with a marked downward trend since mid-2008, especially in the resource-rich western provinces. This paper estimates the evolution of equilibrium real home prices during this period in key provinces and finds that, follo...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Tsounta, Evridiki (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/09/235.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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245 1 0 |a Is the Canadian housing market overvalued? :  |b a post-crisis assessment /  |c Evridiki Tsounta. 
260 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2009  |e (Saint-Lazare, Quebec :  |f Gibson Library Connections,  |g 2010) 
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504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 13-14). 
505 0 |a I. Introduction -- II. Recent housing market developments -- A. The run-up in house prices and construction -- B. Reversal in house prices -- III. Macrofinancial linkages from the housing market -- IV. Existing literature -- V. Econometric model and results -- VI. Conclusions -- References. 
520 |a Canadian house prices have increased significantly between 2003 and early 2008, with a marked downward trend since mid-2008, especially in the resource-rich western provinces. This paper estimates the evolution of equilibrium real home prices during this period in key provinces and finds that, following recent declines, home prices are now generally close to equilibrium throughout Canada. However, house prices in Alberta and British Columbia remain around 8 percent overvalued at the end of the sample (second quarter of 2009). Despite the limitations of econometric estimates of house-price dynamics, the measured small degree of overvaluation suggests that the Canadian housing market is essentially at equilibrium. 
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