Decoupling from the east toward the west? : analyses of spillovers to the Baltic countries /

This paper uses VAR models to examine the magnitude and sources of growth spillovers to the Baltics from key trading partners, as well asfrom the real effective exchange rate (REER). Our results show there are significant cross-country spillovers to the Baltics with those from the EU outweighing spi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Obiora, Kingsley (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. European Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/09/125.
Temas:
Economic history
Baltic States > Economic conditions.
Baltic States
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Obiora, Kingsley,  |e author. 
245 1 0 |a Decoupling from the east toward the west? :  |b analyses of spillovers to the Baltic countries /  |c prepared by Kingsley I. Obiora. 
260 |a [Washington, D.C.] :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c ©2009. 
300 |a 1 online resource (38 pages) :  |b illustrations (some color) 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
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490 1 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/09/125 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 27-28). 
520 |a This paper uses VAR models to examine the magnitude and sources of growth spillovers to the Baltics from key trading partners, as well asfrom the real effective exchange rate (REER). Our results show there are significant cross-country spillovers to the Baltics with those from the EU outweighing spillovers from Russia. Shocks to the REER generally depress growth in the Baltics, and this intensifies over time. We also find that financial and trade channels dominate the transmission of spillovers to the region which partly explains the realization of downside risks to the Baltics from the global slowdown. 
505 0 |a I. Introduction; II. The 1998 Russian Crisis; Figures; 1. The Baltic Countries: Responses of Aggregate Demand Components to 1998 Russian Crisis (year-on-year change, in percent); III. Trade and Financial Linkages; 2. The Baltics: Exports and Imports of Goods and Services (in percent of total, 1994-2007); Tables; 1. The Baltics: Sources and Destination of Foreign Direct Investment (in percent of total, 2007); 3 Baltic Countries: Business Cycle Synchronization with Major Trading Partners; IV. Econometric Analysis; A. Vector Auto regression Models 
505 8 |a 2. Variance Decomposition for Baltic Countries' Real GDP (Base VAR Models)4. Baltic Countries: GDP Growth Responses to 1 Percent Shocks from Major Trading Partners and Real Effective Exchange Rate; B. Extended Vector Auto regression Models; 3. Variance Decomposition for Baltic Countries' Real GDP (Extended VAR Models); 5. Baltic Countries: GDP Growth Responses to 1 Percent Shocks from Major Trading Partners, Oil Price Growth and REER; V. Measuring the Channels of Spillovers; 6. The Baltic Countries: Contributions to Spillovers from EU Countries 
505 8 |a 7. The Baltic Countries: Contributions to Spillovers from Russia 8. The Baltic Countries: Contributions to Spillovers from the Scandinavian Region; VI. Conclusions and Lessons for Policy; References; Data Description; Appendices; Tables; A1. The Baltic Countries: Direction of Imports to Major Trading Partners (in percent of total); A2. Structure of Bank Ownership in the Baltic Countries; A3. Results of Unit Root Tests Using the Ng-Perron Procedure; A4. Variance Decomposition Results (Base VAR Models, 1996-2007); A5. Variance Decomposition Results (Extended VAR Models, 1996-2007); Figures 
505 8 |a A1. The Baltic Countries: Decomposition of Exports and Imports (in percent of GDP, 1993-2007) A2. Impulse Response Results (Base VAR Models, 1996-2007); A3. Impulse Response Results (Extended VAR Models, 1996-2007); A4. The Baltics: Responses to 1 Percent Shock from the Scandinavian Region 
590 |a ProQuest Ebook Central  |b Ebook Central Academic Complete 
651 0 |a Baltic States  |x Economic conditions. 
650 7 |a Economic history  |2 fast 
651 7 |a Baltic States  |2 fast 
710 2 |a International Monetary Fund.  |b European Department. 
758 |i has work:  |a Decoupling from the east toward the west? (Text)  |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCGhfVMX7cBb6HJGmW4VhBP  |4 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/ontology/hasWork 
776 0 8 |i Print version:  |a Obiora, Kingsley I.  |t Decoupling from the east toward the west?  |d [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2009  |w (OCoLC)586099834 
830 0 |a IMF working paper ;  |v WP/09/125. 
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