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How good are ex ante program evaluation techniques? : the case of school enrollment in PROGRESA /
This paper evaluates a microsimulation technique by comparing the simulated outcome of a program with its actual effect. The ex ante evaluation is carried out for a conditional cash transfer program, where poor households were given money if the children attended school. A model of occupational choi...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Autor Corporativo: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
©2009.
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| Colección: | IMF working paper ;
WP/09/187. |
| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
| Sumario: | This paper evaluates a microsimulation technique by comparing the simulated outcome of a program with its actual effect. The ex ante evaluation is carried out for a conditional cash transfer program, where poor households were given money if the children attended school. A model of occupational choice is used to simulate the expected impact of the program. The results suggest that the transfer would indeed increase school attendance and do more so among girls than boys. While the simulated effect tends to be larger than the actual effect, the latter lies within bootstrapped confidence intervals of the simulation. |
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| Notas: | At head of title: Fiscal Affairs Department. "September 2009." |
| Descripción Física: | 1 online resource (35 pages) : color illustrations |
| Bibliografía: | Includes bibliographical references (page 31). |
| ISBN: | 9781452733920 1452733929 9781451873344 1451873344 9781451917598 1451917597 1462331556 9781462331550 9786612843976 6612843977 1282843974 9781282843974 |