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Spillovers across NAFTA /

This paper examines linkages across North America by estimating the size of spillovers from the major regions of the world-- the United States, Euro area, Japan, and the rest of the world-- to Canada and Mexico, and decomposing the impact of these spillovers into trade, commodity price, and financia...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autores principales: Swiston, A. (Andrew James) (Autor), Bayoumi, Tamim A. (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Dept., 2008.
Colección:IMF working paper ; WP/08/3.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo

MARC

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100 1 |a Swiston, A.  |q (Andrew James),  |e author.  |1 https://id.oclc.org/worldcat/entity/E39PCjDHD83bkcrMYg6khtd683 
245 1 0 |a Spillovers across NAFTA /  |c prepared by Andrew Swiston and Tamim Bayoumi. 
260 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund, Western Hemisphere Dept.,  |c 2008. 
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504 |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 18-19). 
520 |a This paper examines linkages across North America by estimating the size of spillovers from the major regions of the world-- the United States, Euro area, Japan, and the rest of the world-- to Canada and Mexico, and decomposing the impact of these spillovers into trade, commodity price, and financial market channels. For Canada, a one percent shock to U.S. real GDP shifts Canadian real GDP by some 3/4 of a percentage point in the same direction-- with financial spillovers more important than trade in recent decades. Thus, a large proportion of the reduction in Canadian output volatility since the 1980s can be accounted for by the 'Great Moderation' in U.S. growth. Before 1996, domestic volatility in Mexico swamped the contribution of external factors to the business cycle. After 1996, the response of Mexican GDP is 1 1/2 times the size of the U.S. shock-- "when the U.S. sneezes, Mexico catches a cold". These spillovers are transmitted through both trade and financial channels 
588 0 |a Print version record. 
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505 0 |a I. Introduction; II. Identifying Spillovers in a Vector Autoregression; III. Where do Shocks to Canada and Mexico Originate?; A. The Evolution of Domestic Shocks and Correlations Over Time; B. Size of Spillovers to Canada; C. Size of Spillovers to Mexico; IV. By What Channels Are Spillovers Transmitted?; A. Measuring the Channels; B. Sources of Spillovers to Canada; C. Sources of Spillovers to Mexico; V. Conclusions; References; Tables; 1. Canada: Correlations, Variances, and Covariances of VAR Residuals; 2. Mexico: Correlations, Variances, and Covariances of VAR Residuals 
505 8 |a 3. Canada: Variance Decompositions of Real GDP4. Mexico: Variance Decompositions of Real GDP; Figures; 1. Measures of U.S. Integration with Canada and Mexico; 2. Canada: Spillovers Across Eight VARs; 3. Canada: Spillovers Across Eight VARs by Subsample; 4. Domestic Shocks and Canadian Responses by Subsample; 5. Mexico: Spillovers Across Eight VARs; 6. Mexico: Spillovers Across Eight VARs, 1996-2007; 7. Domestic Shocks and Mexican Responses by Subsample; 8. Canada: Decomposition of Spillovers; 9. Canada: Decomposition of Spillovers by Subsample; 10. Mexico: Decomposition of Spillovers 
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630 0 0 |a North American Free Trade Agreement  |d (1992 December 17) 
610 1 6 |a Canada.  |t Traités, etc.  |d (1992 oct. 7) 
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651 0 |a United States  |x Foreign economic relations  |z Canada. 
651 0 |a Mexico  |x Foreign economic relations  |z United States. 
651 0 |a United States  |x Foreign economic relations  |z Mexico. 
651 0 |a Canada  |x Economic conditions. 
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651 0 |a Mexico  |x Economic conditions  |y 1994- 
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