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Global catastrophes and trends : the next fifty years /
From the Publisher: Fundamental change occurs most often in one of two ways: as a "fatal discontinuity," a sudden catastrophic event that is potentially world changing, or as a persistent, gradual trend. Global catastrophes include volcanic eruptions, viral pandemics, wars, and large-scale...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Cambridge, MA :
MIT Press,
©2008.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- 1. How (not) to look ahead
- 2. Fatal discontinuities. Natural catastrophes
- Encounters with extraterrestrial objects
- Volcanic mega-eruptions and collapses
- Influenza pandemics
- Violent conflicts
- Transformational wars
- Terrorist attacks
- Imaginable surprises
- 3. Unfolding trends. Energy transitions
- Dominant fuels, enduring prime movers
- Solar (nuclear?) civilization
- New world order
- Europe's place
- Japan's decline
- Islam's choice
- Russia's way
- China's rise
- The United States' retreat
- Place on top
- Dominance and decline
- Globalization and inequality
- 4. Environmental change. Global warming and its consequences
- Rising temperatures
- Ocean's rise, dynamics and composition
- Ecosystems and economies
- Other global changes
- Changing water and nitrogen cycles
- Loss of biodiversity and invasive species
- Antibiotic resistance
- Biosphere's integrity
- 5. Dealing with risk and uncertainty. Relative fears
- Quantifying the odds
- Rational attitudes
- Acting as risk minimizes
- The next 50 years.