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Everyday probability and statistics : health, elections, gambling and war /

Probability and statistics impinge on the life of the average person in a variety of ways - as is suggested by the title of this book. Very often, information is provided that is factually accurate but intended to present a biased view. This book presents the important results of probability and sta...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Woolfson, Michael M. (Michael Mark)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: London : Singapore ; Hackensack, NJ : Imperial College Press ; Distributed by World Scientific Pub., ©2008.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Cover
  • Contents
  • Introduction
  • Chapter 1 The Nature of Probability
  • 1.1. Probability and Everyday Speech
  • 1.2. Spinning a Coin
  • 1.3. Throwing or Spinning Other Objects
  • Problems 1
  • Chapter 2 Combining Probabilities
  • 2.1. Eitheror Probability
  • 2.2. Bothand Probability
  • 2.3. Genetically Inherited Disease 8212; Just Gene Dependent
  • 2.4. Genetically Dependent Disease 8212; Gender Dependent
  • 2.5. A Dice Game 8212;American Craps
  • Problems 2
  • Chapter 3 A Day at the Races
  • 3.1. Kinds of Probability
  • 3.2. Betting on a Horse
  • 3.3. The Best Conditions for a Punter
  • Problem 3
  • Chapter 4 Making Choices and Selections
  • 4.1. Children Leaving a Room
  • 4.2. Picking a Team
  • 4.3. Choosing an Email Username
  • 4.4. The UK National Lottery
  • Problems 4
  • Chapter 5 Non-Intuitive Examples of Probability
  • 5.1. The Birthday Problem
  • 5.2. Crown and Anchor
  • 5.3. To Switch or Not to Switch 8212; That is the Question
  • Problems 5
  • Chapter 6 Probability and Health
  • 6.1. Finding the Best Treatment
  • 6.2. Testing Drugs
  • Problems 6
  • Chapter 7 Combining Probabilities; The Craps Game Revealed
  • 7.1. A Simple Probability Machine
  • 7.2. Pontoon 8212;A Card Game
  • 7.3. The Throwers Chance of Winning at American Craps
  • Problems 7
  • Chapter 8 The UK National Lottery, Loaded Dice, and Crooked Wheels
  • 8.1. The Need to Test for Fairness
  • 8.2. Testing Random Numbers
  • 8.3. The UK National Lottery
  • 8.4. American Craps with Loaded Dice
  • 8.5. Testing for a Loaded Die
  • 8.6. The Roulette Wheel
  • Problems 8
  • Chapter 9 Block Diagrams
  • 9.1. Variation in Almost Everything
  • 9.2. A Shoe Manufacturer
  • 9.3. Histogram Shapes
  • 9.4. Lofty and Shorty
  • Problem 9
  • Chapter 10 The Normal (or Gaussian) Distribution
  • 10.1. Probability Distributions
  • 10.2. The Normal Distribution
  • 10.3. The Variance and Standard Deviation
  • 10.4. Properties of Normal Distributions
  • 10.5. A Little Necessary Mathematics
  • 10.5.1. Some Special Numbers
  • 10.5.2. Powers of Numbers
  • 10.6. The Form of the Normal Distribution
  • 10.7. Random and Systematic Errors
  • 10.8. Some Examples of the Normal Distribution
  • 10.8.1. Electric Light Bulbs
  • 10.8.2. People on Trolleys and Under-Used Resources
  • Problems 10
  • Chapter 11 Statistics8212;The Collection and Analysis of Numerical Data
  • 11.1. Too Much Information
  • 11.2. Another Way of Finding the Variance
  • 11.3. From Regional to National Statistics
  • Problems 11
  • Chapter 12 The Poisson Distribution and Death by Horse Kicks
  • 12.1. Rare Events
  • 12.2. Typing a Manuscript
  • 12.3. The Poisson Distribution as a Formula
  • 12.4. Death by Horse Kicks
  • 12.5. Some Other Examples of the Poisson Distribution
  • 12.5.1. Flying Bomb Attacks on London
  • 12.5.2. Clustering of a Disease
  • 12.5.3. Some Further Examples
  • Problems 12
  • Chapter 13 Predicting Voting Patterns
  • 13.1. Election Polls
  • 13.2. Polling Statistics
  • 13.3. Combining Polling Samples
  • 13.4. Polling with More than Two Parties
  • 13.5. Factors Affecting Polls and Voting
  • Problems 13
  • Chapter 14 Taking Samples8212;How Many Fish in the Pond?
  • 14.1. Why do we Sample?
  • 14.2. F.