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Deep futures : our prospects for survival /
Annotation Deep Futures addresses many questions, largely about the future of humanity, such as: Will the human lineage survive, reasonably happily, the twenty-first century? Assuming we survive, will this millennium be particularly difficult ... or just plain difficult? Will we eventually become ex...
| Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
|---|---|
| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Montréal [Que.] :
McGill-Queen's University Press,
2003.
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| Temas: | |
| Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Contents
- Acknowledgments
- Preface and introduction
- PART 1: FUTURES WE HAVE GLIMPSED
- Chapter 1 21C: A difficult century
- Global springboard to the future
- Hobsbawm's coming problems
- Geopolitical futures
- Geoeconomic futures
- World-shaping technologies
- A growing world population
- Geosocial futures
- Global environmental futures
- Global resource futures
- Summary: change in the 21st century
- CHAPTER 2 Deep futures
- M3:The world of the third millennium
- The next glacial age
- Beyond the next glacial age
- Overview: dungeons and dragonsPART 2: UNDERSTANDING THE TASK
- Chapter 3 What is the question?
- Why do people think about the future?
- What do people want of their own futures?
- What sort of society do people want?
- Can societies have goals?
- The process of setting social goals
- Quality survival as a goal for world society
- From goals to objectives
- Can we shape the future?
- Recapitulation
- Chapter 4 Understanding how societies change over time
- Ideas from history
- Some social psychology
- Sociology and societal change
- Systems theory and societal changeEcological theory and societal change
- Evolutionary theory and societal change
- Overview: A plurality of frameworks
- Conclusion
- PART 3: TAKING CHARGE
- Chapter 5 A strategy for managing the deep future
- Picking a metaphor for the deep futures problem
- Wicked problems
- Accepting that rationality is bounded
- A strategy of responding to priority issues
- Four priority issues
- Chapter 6 Guidelines I: Nursing the world through endless change
- Managing the change rate
- Managing trends
- Managing fragility and senescenceManaging unpredictability
- A Sisyphean task
- Chapter 7 Guidelines II: Learning forever
- Four pillars of social learning
- Nurturing social learning
- Boosting social learning
- Managing science and technology
- Managing stocks and flows of knowledge
- Recapitulation
- Chapter 8 Guidelines III: Working on perennial issues
- Managing social relations
- Managing global governance
- Managing production and distribution
- Managing the global ecosystem
- Chapter overview
- Chapter 9 Stories to live by
- BacktrackingStyle, attitude and role
- Appendix: Basic properties of dissipative (energy-degrading) systems
- References
- Index
- A
- B
- C
- D
- E
- F
- G
- H
- I
- K
- L
- M
- N
- O
- P
- Q
- R
- S
- T
- V
- W