Weight-of-evidence for forensic DNA profiles /
Assessing Weight-of-Evidence for DNA Profiles is an excellent introductory text to the use of statistical analysis for assessing DNA evidence. Â It offers practical guidance to forensic scientists with little dependence on mathematical ability as the book includes background information on statisti...
Clasificación: | Libro Electrónico |
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Autor principal: | |
Formato: | Electrónico eBook |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Hoboken, N.J. :
John Wiley & Sons,
©2005.
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Colección: | Statistics in practice.
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Temas: | |
Acceso en línea: | Texto completo |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Intro
- Weight-of-evidence for Forensic DNA Profiles
- Statistics in Practice
- Contents
- Preface
- 1 Introduction
- 1.1 Weight-of-evidence theory
- 1.2 About the book
- 1.3 DNA profiling technology
- 1.4 What you need to know already
- 1.5 Other resources
- 2 Crime on an island
- 2.1 Warm-up examples
- 2.1.1 Disease testing: Positive Predictive Value (PPV)
- 2.1.2 Coloured taxis
- 2.2 Rare trait identification evidence
- 2.2.1 The "island" problem
- 2.2.2 A first lesson from the island problem
- 2.3 Making the island problem more realistic
- 2.3.1 Uncertainty about p
- 2.3.2 Uncertainty about N
- 2.3.3 Possible typing errors
- 2.3.4 Searches
- 2.3.5 Other evidence
- 2.3.6 Relatives and population subdivision
- 2.4 Weight-of-evidence exercises
- 3 Assessing evidence via likelihood ratios
- 3.1 Likelihood ratios
- 3.2 The weight-of-evidence formula
- 3.2.1 Application to the island problem
- 3.2.2 The population P
- 3.3 General application of the formula
- 3.3.1 Several items of evidence
- 3.3.2 Assessing all the evidence
- 3.3.3 The role of the expert witness
- 3.4 Consequences for DNA evidence
- 3.4.1 Many possible culprits
- 3.4.2 Incorporating the non-DNA evidence
- 3.4.3 Relatives
- 3.4.4 Laboratory and handling errors
- 3.4.5 Database searches
- 3.5 Some derivations â#x80;
- 3.5.1 Bayes theorem for identification evidence
- 3.5.2 Uncertainty about p and N
- 3.5.3 Grouping the alternative possible culprits
- 3.5.4 Typing errors
- 3.6 Further weight-of-evidence exercises
- 4 Typing technologies
- 4.1 STR typing
- 4.1.1 Anomalies
- 4.1.2 Contamination
- 4.1.3 Low copy number (LCN) profiling
- 4.2 mtDNA typing
- 4.3 Y-chromosome markers
- 4.4 X-chromosome markers â#x80;
- 4.5 SNP profiles
- 4.6 Fingerprints â#x80;
- 5 Some population genetics for DNA evidence
- 5.1 A brief overview
- 5.1.1 Drift.
- 5.1.2 Mutation
- 5.1.3 Migration
- 5.1.4 Selection
- 5.2 θ, or F(ST)
- 5.3 A statistical model and sampling formula
- 5.3.1 Diallelic loci
- 5.3.2 Multi-allelic loci
- 5.4 Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium
- 5.4.1 Testing for deviations from HWE â#x80;
- 5.4.2 Interpretation of test results
- 5.5 Linkage equilibrium
- 5.6 Coancestry â#x80;
- 5.7 Likelihood-based estimation of θ â#x80;
- 5.8 Population genetics exercises
- 6 Identification
- 6.1 Choosing the hypotheses
- 6.1.1 Post-data equivalence of hypotheses
- 6.2 Calculating likelihood ratios
- 6.2.1 The match probability
- 6.2.2 One locus
- 6.2.3 Multiple loci: the "product rule"
- 6.2.4 Relatives of s
- 6.2.5 Confidence limits â#x80;
- 6.2.6 Other profiled individuals
- 6.3 Application to STR profiles
- 6.3.1 Values for the p(j)
- 6.3.2 The value of θ
- 6.3.3 Errors
- 6.4 Application to haploid profiles
- 6.4.1 mtDNA profiles
- 6.4.2 Y-chromosome markers
- 6.5 Mixtures
- 6.5.1 Visual interpretation of mixed profiles
- 6.5.2 Likelihood ratios under qualitative interpretation
- 6.5.3 Quantitative interpretation of mixtures
- 6.6 Identification exercises
- 7 Relatedness
- 7.1 Paternity
- 7.1.1 Weight of evidence for paternity
- 7.1.2 Prior probabilities
- 7.1.3 Calculating likelihood ratios
- 7.1.4 Multiple loci: the effect of linkage
- 7.1.5 s may be related to c but is not the father
- 7.1.6 Incest
- 7.1.7 Mother unavailable
- 7.1.8 Mutation
- 7.2 Other relatedness between two individuals
- 7.2.1 Only the two individuals profiled
- 7.2.2 Profiled individual close relative of target
- 7.2.3 Profiles of known relatives also available â#x80;
- 7.3 Software for relatedness analyses
- 7.4 Inference of ethnicity or phenotype â#x80;
- 7.5 Relatedness exercises
- 8 Other approaches to weight of evidence
- 8.1 Uniqueness
- 8.1.1 Analysis
- 8.1.2 Discussion.
- 8.2 Inclusion/exclusion probabilities
- 8.2.1 Random man
- 8.2.2 Inclusion probability of a typing system
- 8.2.3 Case-specific inclusion probability
- 8.3 Hypothesis testing â#x80;
- 8.4 Other exercises
- 9 Issues for the courtroom
- 9.1 Bayesian reasoning in court
- 9.2 Some fallacies
- 9.2.1 The prosecutor's fallacy
- 9.2.2 The defendant's fallacy
- 9.2.3 The uniqueness fallacy
- 9.3 Some UK appeal cases
- 9.3.1 Deen (1993)
- 9.3.2 Dalby (1995)
- 9.3.3 Adams (1996)
- 9.3.4 Doheny/Adams (1996)
- 9.3.5 Watters (2000)
- 9.4 US National Research Council reports
- 9.5 Prosecutor's fallacy exercises
- 10 Solutions to exercises
- Bibliography
- Index.