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Long-Run Growth Forecasting

This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap betwee...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Bergheim, Stefan (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: SpringerLink (Online service)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg : Imprint: Springer, 2008.
Edición:1st ed. 2008.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto Completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • The importance of long-run growth analysis
  • Assessment of growth theories
  • The dependent variable: GDP growth
  • Labor input
  • Physical capital
  • Human capital
  • Openness
  • Spatial linkages
  • Other determinants of GDP
  • The theory of forecasting
  • The evolution of growth empirics
  • Estimation results
  • Forecast competitions and 2006-2020 forecasts
  • Conclusion and outlook.